The difficulty of selling grain and the loss of growing grain may lead to the decline of grain output.

From the start of the purchase of summer grain to the centralized listing of autumn grain, the reporter continued to follow up along Henan, Hubei and other major producing provinces and found that due to successive years of bumper harvests and sustained unilateral rise in market prices, there are many new trends in grain circulation and storage: high local inventory, great pressure of policy purchase, weak market purchase and weak market, and the traditional peak season turns to off-season. The weakening trend of the market has spread from a single variety to multiple varieties. In some places, after queuing up to sell grain "normalized", some purchase points even appeared the phenomenon of "going through the back door" in order to sell grain.

Industry insiders and experts appeal that as grain policy collection and storage enters the adjustment window, all localities should pay close attention to the chain reaction caused by price reduction, and beware of the difficulty of changing from local grain sales to large-scale and systematic grain sales. It is necessary to protect farmers' enthusiasm for growing grain, prevent the decline in income from growing grain, slow down the process of agricultural scale, and even lead to a decline in grain production.

Give 500 yuan to sell grain for a good fee.

In the courtyard directly under the Central Grain Storage in Huangchuan, Henan Province, all kinds of grain selling vehicles spread forward in a line. Guo Ruimin, a farmer from Yuanbei Town, Huangchuan County, told reporters that for the first time after the harvest of middle and late rice this year, "the whole family has 12 mu of land, with an average yield of nearly 1,000 jin per mu. The purchase price of grain traders is 1.18 yuan, and it can be sold here for more than 1.3 yuan."

Zhang Ming, deputy director of the Huangchuan directly affiliated warehouse, said that the Huangchuan warehouse and the depots entrusted by the Huangchuan district had a total storage of 2.64 million tons of grain and oil. although it was located in the rice area and did not participate in the purchase of summer grain, after stocktaking, the empty warehouse was only more than 400,000 tons. "since the acquisition of autumn grain support market was launched on October 1, more than 100,000 tons of rice have been purchased. According to the purchase volume of supporting the market in previous years, it is estimated that the shortfall in warehouse capacity may be 500000 tons."

Statistics show that Henan has had another bumper harvest of summer grain this year, achieving 13 consecutive increases, and the total output has exceeded 70 billion jin for the first time; with regard to autumn grain, the relevant departments have also analyzed the samples of 81 survey households in nine counties, and it is also shown that the per unit yield of corn, soybeans, medium indica rice and other crops in the province have increased significantly, and the quality of crops has improved somewhat. On the one hand, the output has increased, and on the other, the warehouse capacity is tight. As a result, the queue to sell grain has entered the "normalization" under double extrusion.

In Hunan Province, one of the main rice producing areas, after some warehouses are full, some farmers have to sell grain across districts over long distances, and in some places there is even a phenomenon of "jumping the queue" to sell grain through the back door with a good fee of 500 yuan for each time.

The maximum drop in income from growing grain is more than 30%.

In addition to the obvious difficulties in selling grain caused by tight storage capacity, the reporter further investigated and found that under the strong leadership of the policy city, the current grain circulation, purchase and marketing links also show complex characteristics of hidden difficulties in selling. Among them, three major trends are worthy of attention: the acquisition process of supporting the market is obviously lengthened; the main body of the market is weak in purchasing and selling, and the traditional peak season is not prosperous; the market weakening momentum spreads from a single variety to multiple varieties, and so on.

According to data from the Henan Provincial Grain Bureau, as of Sept. 30, the purchase of wheat in the province has been closed. The province has purchased a total of 40.1 billion jin of wheat, including 17.9 billion jin at the lowest purchase price and 22.2 billion jin at the market price. Based on the total output of 70 billion jin of summer grain, the current stock of wheat held by farmers is still as high as nearly 30 billion jin.

Li Ming, director of the purchase and sales Planning Department of China stored Grain Henan Branch, told reporters that in addition to the decline in purchase volume compared with the same period last year, the obvious lengthening of the acquisition process of supporting the market is the biggest feature of this year. According to the experience of previous years, the purchase of summer grain to support the market was launched at the end of May, and the purchase volume generally dropped significantly after July, and basically came to an end. However, the average daily purchase volume reached 20,000 tons in the year to September, compared with almost no progress in the same period last year. The main reason is the lack of purchasing and selling power in the market, and most of the grain sources enter the scope of supporting the market. "

From the perspective of varieties, among the three staple grains, the trend of market weakness from a single variety to other varieties is also prominent.

Shen Hongyuan, an analyst at Zhengzhou Grain Wholesale Market, believes that from the phased surplus of corn in Northeast China in recent years to the light purchase and sale of rice and wheat, the spread of the market downturn among several major grain varieties is worthy of attention.

The depressed market has had a negative impact on the income of growing grain. A few days ago, the price cost investigation and supervision bureau of Henan Province conducted a survey on the input and output of autumn grain, and the results show that although the output has increased, the planting income of autumn grain generally shows a downward trend.

Corn has dropped from 1.12 yuan / jin in July and August 2015 to the current 0.71-0.81 yuan / jin, with a maximum drop of 36.61%. Soybeans have also dropped from 2.41 yuan / jin to 1.92 yuan / jin, with an average decrease of 20.33%. Medium indica rice dropped from 1.35 yuan / jin last year to 1.18 yuan / jin now, a decrease of 12.59%. On the other hand, the three production costs increased by 3.31%, 2.75% and 2.19% respectively compared with the same period last year. Under the double squeeze of rising costs and falling prices, planting income inevitably decreases. Take corn, which has the biggest decline, as an example, the average cash income per mu in 2015 was 484.35 yuan, a decrease of 230.09 yuan or more than 30% compared with 714.44 yuan last year.