[fact check] is the increase in pork prices true or false? Ten years of data to look at the truth, people eat pigs will not become expensive

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(by upstream and downstream reporters Lin Yijun and Yang Yuyun)

There is only one month left before the Lunar New year, when it is time to buy New year's goods, but there is news of rising pork prices in Taiwan. "upstream and downstream" reporters checked the price of hairy pigs and the meat stalls and restaurants at the consumer end in two ways, and found that the price increase of hairy pigs is still in a reasonable range. however, it is analyzed that before the Spring Festival in the past decade, pig prices range from 64 yuan to 81 yuan per kilogram. Today, the average trading price of hairy pigs in Taiwan is 76.11 yuan, although it is on the high side. But it is still within a reasonable rate of increase.

And is it really more expensive for consumers to buy and eat pork? Pork stalls and a number of large restaurants have said that a slight increase in pork before the year is normal, merchants will absorb it, and will not raise the end price, consumers do not need to worry too much.

At the same time, however, international feed prices have risen, driving up the cost of raising pigs at home. Pig farmers are worried that pork prices will fall after the new year, but the cost will become higher, and they will not be happy in the face of this wave of amplitude modulation.

Has the price of pig really gone up? The reporter visited the stalls and restaurants all said that the increase was reasonable. (photo / Yang Yuyun) the sound of pork rising? Chen Jizhong: seasonal demand rose before the year

After Taiwan opened up Lai Pig, not to mention stepping into the country, no industry has placed an order at all, but it has triggered a big move by consumers to refuse to eat beautiful pigs, which in turn affects the reputation of all imported pork. In order to restore the hearts and minds of the people, in addition to emphasizing the use of Taiwanese pigs, shops that used imported pork have also changed course and joined the ranks of Taiwanese pigs.

However, the operators adjusted their prices on the grounds of the price difference between imported pigs and Taiwanese pigs. For example, roast meat bento shops in New Taipei City and Thai cuisine in Kaohsiung each increased by NT $5 to NT $10, which was denounced by public opinion. Amid a storm of abuse from netizens, the wind has also blown to the retail market, and there has been an uproar that pork prices have risen too sharply recently. It is as if domestic pigs are taking advantage of this wave of "patriotism and food safety concerns" to set prices, and it is the end consumers who suffer.

In the face of four public grievances, Chen Jizhong, chairman of the Council of Agriculture, stressed that with a big increase in pork consumption before the New year's Festival, pig prices will naturally rise, which is a seasonal demand and is still within a reasonable range compared with the same period in previous years.

According to the analysis of pig prices before the Spring Festival in the past ten years, the current increase is in a reasonable range.

Today (13) there are still 28 days to go before the Lunar New year. According to the analysis of the "upstream and downstream" timeline, it is found that the average trading price of hairy pigs in the month before the Spring Festival ranges from 64 yuan to 81 yuan per kilogram, with a ten-year average of 70.69 yuan per kilogram (standard deviation 4.97). Today, the average price of hairy pigs in Taiwan is 76.11 yuan, but it is still within a reasonable increase.

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Miss Dongmen Pork extravagance said that the price of pork would have risen before the Spring Festival and during the summer vacation, and the price of pork has risen to more than 80 per kilogram in the past, so the current price of pork is not high.

Mr. Lu, a veteran meat trader in Qingguang market and a member of the meat association, said that more than 70 yuan is the average price, but if you want to buy high-quality goods, you have to cost more than 80 yuan per kilogram. When the meat association met in December, it was estimated that the price of domestic pork was seen a year ago.