Daily grain and oil: as an individual, how to judge the rise and fall of wheat, corn and rice prices?

Everyone says that supply and demand determine the price, but there is a saying in the hearts of grain farmers: once grain is sold, the price will rise.

Others say that the price of grain will not rise as long as it is in the hands of farmers!

Is that true? The following daily grain and oil editor to show you some hidden rules in corn procurement!

1. In any case, supply and demand must come first. However, what you need to warn farmers is that you must not be fooled by the output of your one mu and three mu of land. It is best to collect more research reports from industry organizations before selling grain. Although many research reports are not very reliable in price prediction, at least you can see the output in other places from their actual research, and set an approximate amount of grain production for the whole year-- if you reduce production, you will hesitate to sell. If you increase production, do it as soon as possible!

two。 In addition to grasping the principle of the general direction, the core thing is to master the purchasing habits of grain enterprises-after all, they are the actual influencers of market prices.

Take corn as an example, when new grain is put on the market from September to October, enterprises usually buy as much as they want. After all, there are many sources of grain. At the end of November to the beginning of March of the following year, due to the rain and snow weather in the north and the state-owned grain enterprises, the state-owned grain enterprises will generally correspond to the national policy. Therefore, grain enterprises will also grab grain accordingly and increase their purchasing efforts. From mid-March to May, the whole grain purchase is coming to an end, and the overall supply and demand situation of the market is basically clear, so at this time, if enterprises feel that production is insufficient, they can increase procurement, and price highs often appear at this time. If enterprises feel that there is enough grain supply, then the acquisition during this period will be very light. When it comes to June-September, it is basically national auctions-at least in the last two years, this situation will not change much.

3. With the help of other varieties with substitution effect, the price comparison benefits were compared.

Generally speaking, when the price of wheat is 100-200 yuan / ton lower than the price of corn, feed enterprises will use wheat instead of corn, thus reducing the use of corn, from here we can basically grasp the trend of corn price. Similarly, if the price of corn rises sharply, it will also drive up the price of wheat. Therefore, when doing the comparative effect, we must choose a good judgment point. In general, enterprises will choose a relatively weak variety as a reference to determine the price trend of the upward variety.

4. Choose a relatively reliable professional information organization to obtain market price information.

In general, due to the limited information received, the vast majority of farmers' views on the market are one-sided, so it is best to use the information of industry organizations to enhance their judgment. In line with the market cycle, when we see that online quotations are rising, the price may really go up, otherwise it may be that the price will fall.

There is an old Chinese saying that people talk about money, accumulate and destroy their bones. This sentence may not be accurate when it comes to price monitoring, but the truth is the same.

It should be pointed out that because the acquisition prices of industry organizations are national standards, most of them are quoted by enterprises, and because of the different collection points, the price will be quite different from the actual price of grain sold by farmers. At this time, farmers should not turn a corner when referring to it. What you need to look at is the trend of the price it provides. If you continue to report a decline, you should be prepared for a drop in grain prices.

Although the above is for farmers, it can also be used as a reference for some enterprises and individuals engaged in grain trade. In addition, if you have new experience and understanding in the process of selling grain, you are welcome to send a private message or leave a message at the bottom of the article, so that more people can share this knowledge.