The price of pig in the cloud has finally fallen! Is it really down?

Fell, the price of live pigs flying to the clouds finally fell! Yesterday, the price of live pigs from Longyan to Xiamen has fallen to 18.3 yuan / kg, 2.3 yuan lower than the high point. However, what the reporter learned from the market is that the retail price of pork is still strong.

A drop of 1 yuan per jin

Dealing with the transportation of live pigs every day, Ms. Wu, the person in charge of Xia Shang Huang Jinxiang Food Co., Ltd., knows the recent changes in pig prices like the back of her hand.

"some time ago, the price of live pigs reached as high as 20.6 yuan / kg, but after the Mid-Autumn Festival, the price began to loosen."

In Ms. Wu's view, the fall in pig prices was a bit sudden, as all parties predicted that pig prices would not fall until after the Spring Festival.

However, looking at the falling pig prices, pig farmer Song Natural breathed a sigh of relief. "A catty of pigs sells for more than 10 yuan, which is too high." Song natural believes that for long-term farmers like them, the high price of pigs is not a good thing because of the risk of "riding a roller coaster".

Now the price of a jin of live pigs is just over 9 yuan. Song Natural believes that this is a relatively reasonable range, because at such a price, raising a pig can still have a profit of 500 to 600 yuan, which is already very good.

"We don't want meat to be so expensive that ordinary people can't afford it." Song natural said.

Pig prices fall due to multiple factors

Pig prices in Xiamen suddenly fell, according to Ms. Wu, mainly because the domestic pig supply has rebounded to a certain extent, and the frequency of Guangdong pig vendors coming to Fujian to rob pigs has decreased.

"the pigs fenced by farmers in the first half of the year, it is time for the fencing season." This has led to a balance between supply and demand for live pigs in the market, Ms. Wu said.

Coupled with the sharp drop in pig prices in Guangxi, once the purchase cost of Guangdong pig vendors in Guangxi is lower than that in Fujian, they will naturally reduce the frequency of pig transfer to Fujian, which is also objectively conducive to the balance of pig supply in Xiamen market.

However, in the view of Mr. Yang, a pig farmer, the decline in pig prices is also due to epidemic factors. Because it is now at a time of seasonal transition, it is a season when live pigs are prone to respiratory diseases, coupled with signs of rising pig epidemics in some areas, some pig farmers worry about the epidemic and put some live pigs out of the pen ahead of schedule, which to a certain extent leads to an increase in the supply of pigs in the market.

Song natural believes that the state's regulation and control of prices some time ago is also an objective factor in the decline in pig prices. "for example, throwing frozen meat reserves into the market will objectively reduce the demand for live pigs in the market and press some of the pigs that should have been fenced. In this way, there will be a basis for pig prices to fall." He said.

Meat prices may have to wait for a drop.

Although the price of live pig has fallen, Aunt Shen did not obviously feel that the price of pork has dropped when she went to the market to buy vegetables.

"the ribs are still sold for 48 yuan / kg, and the lean meat costs 30 yuan / kg, which is no different from before." Aunt Shen believes that the price difference has been earned by meat dealers.

Aunt Shen's suspicions are not unfounded. The reporter learned from Xia Shang gold incense that with the recent decline in pig prices, the wholesale price of pork has also been reduced, about 1.5 yuan cheaper per kilogram than before. This means that the life of pork traders is indeed better these days than it was some time ago.

Ms. Wu believes that the decline in pig prices conveys the lag of time in the retail market, and that is why the public will feel that the drop in meat prices is not obvious, but in the coming period of time, the public may not feel how much the price of meat has dropped, because pig prices have almost come to an end, and if pig prices do not continue to fall, there will be less hope of a reduction in meat prices.

"in fact, it is unlikely that the supply of live pigs will increase significantly in the coming period of time, but it is also the peak season for pork consumption, so it may be difficult for pig prices to go down again in the short term." Mr. Yang, a pig farmer, believes that if people want to eat cheaper pork, they may have to wait, and they may really have to wait until after the Spring Festival.