The price of beef and mutton may rise to the Spring Festival

"the price of beef at 28 yuan per jin has been maintained for more than a month, and the price of mutton has risen to 40 yuan per jin. The price is high this year, and the business is not easy. " On the morning of the 8th, the butcher Lao Ma stood in front of his beef and mutton stall in the vegetable market of Shunyu District in Jinan City, rummaged through the meat on the case and began to remove some unattractive meat.

"Bull Devil King" and "Sheep Princess" are here.

People in the past occasionally stopped to ask the price of the old horse and left in a hurry. If you look at your own case, you don't sell much beef and mutton. The pork stalls less than 5 meters away are full of pickers, and the rows of shelves in front of the door are already covered with filled sausages.

"less than 10 jin of meat was sold in the morning." Lao Ma told the Economic Herald that the price of beef and mutton continued to rise this year, and sales were also affected. We used to be able to sell one cow and two sheep in one morning, but now we can barely sell one cow and two sheep a day. According to Lao Ma, the price of beef has basically remained at 28 yuan per jin in the past month, while the price of mutton has risen from 35 yuan per jin a month ago to 40 yuan per jin now.

Compared with farmers' markets, consumers feel more obvious about the price changes of beef and mutton sold in supermarkets. In a large supermarket on Hero Mountain Road, the price of beef has risen as high as 48 yuan per jin, while the price of mutton has exceeded 50 yuan per jin. "if you buy half a jin of beef stuffing, you can make a meal of dumplings for 24 yuan." Aunt Zhou, a citizen, lamented the high price of beef to the guide reporter.

According to the monitoring of Shandong Animal Husbandry Bureau, with the help of New Year's Day's holiday effect, beef and mutton prices in our province continued to rise last week (December 30, 2012 to January 5, 2013, the same below). Last week, the price of beef in our province was 50.76 yuan / kg, up 27.57% from the same period last year and 1.70% from the previous month; the price of mutton was 63.51 yuan / kg, up 28.51% from the same period last year, up 0.54% from the previous month.

In fact, beef and mutton prices have risen sharply all over the country since the second half of last year, not only in Jinan. Consumers everywhere exclaimed, "Bull Devil King" and "Sheep Princess" are coming. Beef prices across the country have risen significantly since April last year, rising again in November after a brief period of stability in October. Compared with April 1 last year, on January 7 this year, the prices of beef tendon and beef tendon rose 28.2% and 30.6% respectively.

The number of columns has declined.

"large investment, slow speed, long cycle and other reasons led to a decline in the stock of beef cattle breeding, resulting in an imbalance between supply and demand." Song Xihai, president of Laizhou Beef cattle Association, said in an interview with the reporter of the guide newspaper on the 8th.

According to Song Xihai, it now costs five or six thousand yuan to buy a calf, and the growth cycle of a cow is as long as three and a half years. With feed input, a total investment of 12000 yuan is required. By the time it is sold, the profit of a cow is only 1000 yuan. Labor costs are also rising rapidly. The income of working in Qingdao is about 2500 yuan a month. Hiring a cattle farmer costs 140150 yuan a day and more than 3000 yuan a month. Low profit and large investment are the main reasons for the continuous decline of beef cattle breeding stock.

"the price is high this year, the supply of beef exceeds demand, and the profit can reach about 1800 yuan per head." Song Xihai told the guide that since the beginning of this year, the price of live cattle has risen from 12 yuan / jin at the beginning of the year to 13.5 yuan / jin.

Hu Zhisheng, an analyst at the Shandong Animal Husbandry Information Center, said in an interview with the guide that beef and mutton prices are both rising, and the contradiction between market supply and demand is still the bottom line support of beef and mutton price trend. In addition, with the approach of the Spring Festival, the market demand is becoming more and more exuberant, which has pushed up the price again and again.

According to Hu Zhisheng, at present, the rigid demand for beef and mutton is still increasing, and the supply of beef is decreasing day by day, especially the insufficient production capacity of high-grade beef and mutton, and the growth of supply can not keep up with the high demand.

"the deep-seated reason for the rise in beef and mutton prices is that beef and mutton production in China is mostly raised by farmers, and the degree of large-scale breeding is not high." Hu Zhisheng said: in recent years, in Jining, Qingdao, southwestern Shandong and other places, retail farmers have been withdrawing, there are fewer and fewer retail cattle, and large-scale farms are also facing tremendous pressure. The stock of cattle in our province is decreasing year by year, resulting in a certain shortage of market supply. According to statistics, in 2000, 7.8 million cattle and 22.6 million sheep were kept in our province, but in 2011, there were 493 cattle and 21.5 million sheep, a decrease of 36.8% and 4.8% respectively. Coupled with the long breeding cycle of cattle and sheep, a sow can reproduce 7-8 heads a year, while a cow and ewe can reproduce an average of 1.3 heads a year, so it takes a long time to expand the production scale of cattle and sheep.