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Pig farmers are in a very conflicted mood now: pig ah, you grow slower

Published: 2024-11-05 Author: mysheen
Last Updated: 2024/11/05, Pig farmers are in a very conflicted mood now: pig ah, you grow slower

Jin Jiansong held the pig in his arms. I wish it would grow slowly.

Pig prices continue to hover below the loss line.

The state is ready to launch the pork collection and storage plan to prop up the market.

This year's Spring Festival market has made pig farm owners who gamble on the "New year effect" almost heartbroken: pig prices have fallen since a month and a half before the Spring Festival and have not reversed the trend.

"this may be the first time in nearly 10 years that pork prices have fallen below the cost line in the pre-Spring Festival peak demand season, which is somewhat abnormal." Zhejiang Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau Animal Husbandry Department related personnel told reporters.

It is understood that self-breeding farmers now lose 100-200 yuan per pig. Although the market began to rebound on the last day before the Spring Festival, the loss has not been alleviated so far. Among the pig companies interviewed by reporters, it is predicted that 2014 could be the industry's worst loss in nearly three years.

Last week, the Xinhua News Agency released a message entitled "China is ready to launch a pork collection and storage plan to support the market", giving people the impression that the pig industry is in bad shape.

Why did prices fall in the traditional peak season? What should pig farmers do? On February 23, the reporter came to a pig-raising enterprise in Leigong Village, Xiaoshan, and visited the "injured" pig farmers.

Jin Jiansong, director of Zhejiang Huifeng farm, wearing a white coat, has just finished checking from the pig pen. With a sad face, he told reporters that they were hurt by the recent pig market. "at least the market has risen sharply before and after the Spring Festival, but it has been losing money in the peak season of the last three months (theoretically), let alone in the next few months."

Put on the rain boots for the pig farm, Lao Jin took me into this large-scale pig farm.

"since December last year, there has been a loss of more than 100 yuan per pig sold." Jin Jiansong said that the Huifeng pig farm is very large, with a total of 47000 live pigs.

"this is a newborn piglet, and when it reaches 21 days, it will be put into a specific pigsty. The feed for piglets is the most expensive, about 7000 yuan per ton, and that for adult pigs is about 3000 yuan per ton. " Jin Jiansong took me into a pigsty specially designed to cultivate piglets. The temperature inside was much higher than that outside, and it had to be heated by a boiler.

"generally, a live pig needs to be raised for about 200days, reaching about 120kg. The feed cost of a pig is about 1600-1700 yuan, and our cost price is 14 yuan / kg." Jin Jiansong told reporters that a farm of this scale consumes about 70 tons of feed a day. Excluding utilities and labor costs, the cost of feed alone, pigs must be sold to more than 14 yuan / kg in order to maintain capital.

"there is no need for more. 16 yuan to 17 yuan per kilogram is enough, but now it can only be sold for less than 13 yuan per kilogram." Jin Jiansong shook his head.

On the morning of the reporter's interview, Jin Jiansong said that 500 live pigs had been sold. According to him, if each pig loses 150 yuan, it will lose 75000 yuan in one morning. "now all our pigs are sold in Shanghai, and the price in Shanghai will be higher."

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There is a loss of more than 100 yuan for each pig sold.

"the loss is expected to last at least until June." Jin Jiansong said that based on past experience, it will be difficult to improve in the next few months.

"of the 47000 live pigs, feed accounts for 70% of the cost. We have a total of 160 employees, and the average income of a couple is more than 60,000 yuan, and the electricity bill of the whole pig farm is also incredible." He handled the accounts with his fingers as he walked.

Jin Jiansong also took me to the biogas digester not far from the pig farm. "this biogas digester invests 2 million yuan. One is to treat pig waste innocuously, and at the same time it can generate electricity to supply the pig farm." However, a biogas digester can only provide sewage treatment and electricity for a small part of the pigsty.

Is there any way to lose money while selling pigs?

"the only way is to make the pig grow more slowly." Jin Jiansong said that half of the pig feed is grains such as soybean meal, so reducing the amount of feed can save feed costs on the one hand and postpone the release of pigs on the other.

"there is no way to keep it expensive and sell it at a loss." For Gao Zhifeng, general manager of Zhejiang Huifeng breeding Co., Ltd., Xiaoshan farm is only one of the 12 farms in Huifeng. "our company has a total of more than 200,000." More than 1000 heads are sold every day, but the price during the Spring Festival is only 12.8yuan / kg. In previous years, the Spring Festival is waiting to make money. "

Gao Zhifeng told reporters that in 2012, Huifeng breeding Company could earn 100 yuan to 200 yuan per pig, and the pig price was sold at the highest price of 23 yuan / kg, while in just one year, there was a national loss, and the price also fell by nearly half. It is understood that Huifeng farming Company has a total of 12 pig farms in various places, and sold 65000 pigs last year alone, but Gao Zhifeng told reporters that several rounds of ups and downs have made almost no money, but at present it is a net loss.

"I have been raising pigs for more than 10 years, and I am used to such price rises and falls." Gao Zhifeng said that the rise and fall of pig prices may be bearable for large enterprises with abundant funds. "We have to raise both profits and losses. But for retail investors, it is easy to break the capital chain. "

The loss is expected to last until June

The Spring Festival is too hot this year.

There are fewer sausages and ham.

Pork is cheaper, which is undoubtedly good news for consumers in Hangzhou. Before going to the pig farm for an interview, the reporter learned at the Hangzhou Gudang Farmers' Market that the price of sandwich meat, for example, is about 13 yuan per jin in recent days and about 14 yuan per jin on weekends. "it is sold at 13 yuan per jin in the morning, and 11 yuan per jin may also be sold at the close of the stall." Master Liu of the Gudang Farmers Market told reporters that the price of striped meat with a price of 8 yuan per jin was 0.5 yuan lower than that of November last year.

"

During the Spring Festival in 2012, the price of sandwiched meat was 17 yuan per jin, while this year it was only about 12.8 yuan per jin. Pork sales this year are generally lower than last year. " Tang, the person in charge of Gudang Farmers' Market, told reporters.

According to common sense, there is a strong demand for pork during the Spring Festival every year, and pork prices always increase significantly before and after the Spring Festival, but the price situation monitored by the Animal Husbandry Bureau of Zhejiang Province shows that the price of live pigs during the Spring Festival this year is unusual.

"there are three main reasons that work at the same time." The director of the Animal Husbandry Department of Zhejiang Provincial Agriculture Department analyzed that since last year, the supply of live pigs is more abundant than in previous years, and the national pig production capacity is in a state of saturation. "in the past two years, the development environment of the pig industry is relatively good, large-scale farming is becoming more and more mature, and the stock is also increasing day by day."

In fact, pig prices fluctuated greatly in 2013, resulting in a continuous decline in pig farming profits last year. "in order to sell a good price in the Spring Festival market, farmers concentrated on fencing and selling, coupled with the increase in the number of foreign transfers at the same time." resulting in poor consumption. " Director Ren said.

He believes that the abnormal rise in temperature during the Spring Festival this year has affected not only the sales of pork at the Spring Festival table, but also the production of sausages and ham. "therefore, on the one hand, the supply is adequate, on the other hand, consumption is reduced, coupled with some selling phenomena. This has led to a sharp drop in pig prices this year."

He revealed that before February 19th, for four consecutive weeks, pig-raising enterprises in Zhejiang Province had suffered obvious losses. "the ratio of pig to food is below 5:1." The loss per pig is about 150 yuan. "

According to the latest monitoring data, the price of live pigs in our province was 18% lower than that of New Year's Day on February 19th, while the price of pork in the market was also 5% lower than that of New Year's Day.

How can the rising and falling prices of live pigs lead a stable life? He told reporters that among the many factors, retail selling is a man-made factor leading to increased fluctuations in pig prices, while large-scale farming can make pig prices more stable, and the proportion of large-scale farming in Zhejiang Province has been increasing in recent years, which has played a partial role in calming the fluctuation of pig prices.

Analysis.

China is ready to launch the pork collection and storage plan to support the market.

The National Development and Reform Commission announced on the 19th that the Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, is closely monitoring pig production and market price situation, and is actively preparing to launch the collection and storage of frozen pork in the central reserve in accordance with the regulation and control plan, in order to prevent excessive decline in pig prices, stabilize pig production, and safeguard the interests of farmers.

The Development and Reform Commission said that judging from the current situation, pig production capacity is still on the high side, the next few months will be a low season for consumption, pig prices are expected to run low, and there is continued downward pressure. It is suggested that the broad masses of farmers should continue to rationally adjust the breeding structure according to the changes in market prices, so as to give full play to the joint forces of market regulation and government regulation, and restore pig production and market balance as soon as possible. According to Xinhua News Agency

 
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