The price of the seedling market is still at a low ebb in 2016, and nursery households should "take the edge of the sword".

According to the operation data of nursery stock market in 2015, nursery stock prices continued to decline during the year, and the whole nursery stock market fell into a trough period.

A few years ago, due to the importance of the state to greening, greening projects were built in various parts of the country, and seedling prices soared. At the same time, due to the gradual enhancement of rural land circulation awareness in recent years, and land circulation is easier than before, many large landholders have begun to contract more land to cultivate seedlings.

After two or three years of cultivation period, the phenomenon of nursery stock appears in large numbers. Since 2014 to 2015, on the one hand, the pressure on nursery stock has increased day by day, coupled with the continuous increase of land contract fees and labor costs, the burden on many nursery households has become heavier and heavier.

At the end of 2015, according to the nursery stock market data and offline market operation analysis, the forest rights gang pointed out that in 2016, the nursery stock market is still very likely to continue to hover in the trough, and predicted that its price market will show the following changes:

1. Conventional nursery stock, will continue to hover in the low price level. For example, there are a large number of small and medium-sized seedlings that are easy to reproduce, such as Sophora japonica, tung tree, white ash, Luanshu and willow. In 2016, the price of seedlings will remain low.

2. Evergreen seedlings, prices will not have a significant rebound. Due to the good price of such seedlings in the past few years, the domestic planting quantity is relatively large, but the price has dropped by more than half compared with the previous years, and this kind of seedlings have the characteristics of rapid reproduction, so on the one hand, they are continuously supplied, on the other hand, there are stocks difficult to sell, so there will be a long period of time in the price downturn.

3. Grafting seedlings, there will be little change in the near future, and it is possible to continue to maintain low prices but not too much decline. In recent years, due to the easy propagation of rootstock, mature grafting technology and fast grafting speed, the nursery stock is also relatively large, and it needs to be transplanted after two or three years. Therefore, the price will not rise in the near future and may still be at a low price.

4. Some tree species are still developing, multi-species, multi-specifications, multi-color, multi-taste, multi-purpose and multi-purpose are the trends of seedling industry development, and functional tree species will be valued in the future. For example, by using people's aesthetic psychology, breeding varieties with peculiar trunk, branch, flower, leaf and appearance; tree species with strong resistance to drought, water saving, cold resistance, heat resistance, salt and alkali resistance, etc., with protective effect, and capable of greening in areas with poor site conditions; tree species with strong resistance, slow growth and low maintenance oriented to special greening space; economic forest species meeting the needs of new rural construction and with ecological benefits; tree species absorbing pm2.5, toxic gas and formaldehyde; modeling trees; precious trees; Native seedling cultivation, etc.

In general, in addition to factors such as nursery, coupled with the current smooth domestic supply and demand information channels under the "Internet +" and rapid logistics transportation, the market pattern of the trough will not change much in 2016. However, as a sunrise industry, garden seedlings still have the motivation and potential for sustainable development in the long run.

With the needs of land greening, urbanization construction,"beautiful China" construction and various special ecological construction, the future development space of the garden seedling market is still large, and the demand will gradually become strong. Therefore, Forest Rights Gang believes that in the near future, China's nursery stock industry will have more specific policy support, stronger government support and more abundant financial guarantee.

For seedling farmers looking for the next year's direction in the nursery stock market, the Forest Rights Group provides several suggestions for reference here:

1.2016 Do not blindly follow the trend of planting, pay more attention to high-quality seedlings, effectively adjust the planting structure of seedlings, and improve the quality of seedlings.

2. The era of market segmentation of nursery stock industry has come, and the future opportunity is to make specialized products in narrow markets. Therefore, it is the key to pay attention to nursery stock innovation, take the sword to the front, and develop characteristic planting to grasp the planting details.

3. Think more about how to reduce operating costs, improve cash flow and liquidity, and at the same time change the business thinking of fighting alone to the development mode of cooperation and resource integration.

4. Research and develop O2O mode, understand Internet thinking, learn e-commerce, and actively connect with Internet and capital