Are you going to plant corn in 2016? Then you must know these three things!

First, seed selection needs to polish your eyes! Don't buy these 30 seeds!

According to the relevant documents of the Ministry of Agriculture, the sale of genetically modified seeds in the domestic seed market is strictly prohibited, otherwise all the consequences will be borne. These include maize varieties sold in the seed market recently: Shibin 338, Jinqing 707, Jinqing 709, Jinqing 129,168, Hongchen 788, Pengcheng 8, Pengcheng 5, Fuer 216, Fuer Yuyi 116, Qiaojing 607, Tayu 1, Dika 1, Dika 3, Yuanfa 815, Jiahe 558, Jinyu 29, Zhongnong University 236, Zhongnong University 4, Denghai 3686, Yuanyu 66, Fuxing 2000, Yinhe 14, Juhe 20, Heyu 187, Yamei 72, Qianfeng 252, All product names of Yuanke 701, Liaodan 570 and Jinqing 707 renamed packaging.

The above varieties have been confirmed by the Ministry of Agriculture as transgenic seeds and should be withdrawn from the field of seed dredging immediately. Otherwise, the grain produced after planting will cause extremely serious and unforeseeable post-inspection. After autumn, the state stored grain will also be rejected; the parties engaged in sales will also be severely punished by the law, and farmers planting this variety will also suffer economic losses. Farmers should be careful to buy seeds and resolutely refrain from planting genetically modified varieties, so as to avoid serious consequences.

It is reported that some of the 30 genetically modified corn varieties announced this time have old faces, such as Denghai 3686 of the sea seed industry. Although it has been ordered to be delisted, there are still many breeding companies secretly breeding. The industry has been calling for management from the source.

Second, is the price of corn going up this year?

Policy-targeted sales, temporary reserve acquisition, price compensation separation

Temporary reserve acquisition: this temporary storage acquisition was announced and implemented in advance, although the base price was lowered, but the reserves were still amazing. The latest data show that as of February 10, more than 82.6 million tons of corn have been temporarily stored in Northeast China, compared with 54.99 million tons in the same period last year. As the temporary storage acquisition continues, the northeast grass-roots grain sources continue to decrease, which will support corn prices in stages.

Targeted sales: since last year, rumors that the state will conduct targeted sales of national grain reserves have entered the market. Recently, the decision was finally made, and the documents of targeted sales of corn were released, but only the preliminary list of targeted sales and processing enterprises was announced, and the sales price and quantity were not given. The main purpose of targeted sales is to restrict the sudden market brought about by the shortage of grass-roots grain supply after temporary storage and acquisition.

Separation of price and compensation: the "Central No. 1 document" arrived as promised before the Spring Festival, in which the word "separation of price and compensation" was written into the document for the first time. In other words, the temporary reserve policy will continue to change this year after the first reduction of the reserve market floor price in 2015. However, taking into account the interests of farmers, it is expected that the temporary reserve acquisition system still exists, but the price continues to decline. At the same time, when the market price is higher than the target price, low-income people are subsidized; when the market price is lower than the target price, producers are subsidized according to the price difference. At present, the import cost is about 1500, so the purchase price of temporary storage should not be less than 1500 yuan / ton.

Market-supply and demand

There is plenty of supply! Last year, the total corn output was 225 million tons; the previous year's temporary storage volume was 89.29 million tons; judging from the auction in the past two years, 21.37 million tons of 30.83 million tons of corn in 2012 and 9.15 million tons of 69.19 million tons in 2013 have been sold. Last year, the temporary storage auction sold less than 5 million tons. Plus the 82.6 million tons of corn that have been stored this year. Roughly speaking, the inventory of corn in the national warehouse has already exceeded 200 million tons. It means that even if the country does not grow corn for a year, it will be able to meet the supply.

The demand is flagging! It is said that corn is a policy market, and the impact of marketization is becoming more and more serious since last year, and the impact of poor demand on corn is the first to bear the brunt. First of all, let's talk about the feed demand, starting with the pig feed that is most widely used. Pig production capacity continues to be eliminated, resulting in the reduction of storage column, corn feed consumption is greatly reduced. However, the annual operating rate of deep processing enterprises is less than 50%, and the consumption of corn industry remains depressed. From the latest data, sow stock continues to be on the low side, although pig prices rise, the market appears the phenomenon of piglets and sows, but the restorative growth of feed consumption will be reflected in the second half of the year.

Third, the national plan: this year, the planting area of corn will be reduced by 10 million mu!

At the national planting structure adjustment meeting on December 26, Vice Minister of Agriculture Yu Xinrong said that the planting area of 10 million mu of corn will be reduced in 2016, while exploring the pilot system of rotation and fallow of arable land.

In 2016, we will focus on reducing the planting area of corn in "sickle bend" areas such as cold areas in northeast China, farming and animal husbandry ecotone in north China, wind and sand arid areas in northwest China and rocky desertification areas in southwest China. By 2020, 50 million mu will be reduced, of which 10 million mu will be reduced in 2016. According to the market demand and the development needs of agriculture and animal husbandry, the reduced cultivated land will develop crops such as silage corn, forage grass, miscellaneous grains and beans according to local conditions.

What are the benefits and business opportunities for corn growers?

The planting area of corn was reduced in 2016, but the state still supports large growers of a large scale, especially large grain growers, family farms, professional cooperatives and other operators of moderate scale, who are generally of high quality and sensitive to the market. strong ability to accept scientific and technological innovation, can better play a leading role in agricultural structural reform. Large grain growers are the unchanging focus of state support. In 2016, we will speed up the development of leading industries with grain and other advantageous characteristics, expand and strengthen leading industries, and increase farmers' income.