General Forecast of Pearl River Prevention and Control: or reappearance of 1998 Flood

Original title: general Prevention: there is a greater possibility of major floods in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River this year.

Great Flood (network photo by China News Service, photo by Ke Xiaojun)

Affected by the super-strong El Ni ñ o phenomenon, major floods in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River are very likely this year, and the Yangtze River Prevention General Administration has reminded all localities to make good plans, according to the News and newspaper Abstracts of China Voice.

Since the beginning of this year, the Yangtze River Basin has entered the flood season ahead of schedule due to excessive precipitation. The Xiangjiang River and Ganjiang River have already experienced super-alarm flooding in March this year, and the flood season has been announced 11 days earlier than usual. The Pearl River Basin in Guangdong Province announced in advance the flood season on March 21, 20 days earlier than in previous years.

Liu Ning, secretary general of the State General Administration of Prevention and Vice Minister of Water Resources: "at present, the water level of the mainstream of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, as well as the water levels of Poyang Lake and Dongting Lake are higher than those of the same period in history, and the water storage capacity of reservoirs in Hunan, Jiangxi and other provinces is on the high side. The overall deviation of the climate in China this year, and there is a greater possibility of major floods in the Yangtze River basin during the flood season this summer. The situation of flood control and drought relief is extremely grim. "

In May this year, in the upper reaches of the Jinsha River, the eastern Jialing River Basin, Chongqing to Yichang, most of the precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River will be 1-50% more, and most of the precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin will be on the high side during the main flood season.

Wang Renqiao, director of the office of the Yangtze River Basin Meteorological Center: "during the flood season this year, the precipitation forecast for the entire Yangtze River basin in eastern Sichuan, the three Gorges, the Wujiang River Basin and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River is 10-50% more than that in some areas in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River. This will be the center of heavy precipitation."

This super-strong El Nino event will end in May this year, which is the strongest El Nino event since the 20th century, and its characteristics are highly similar to the super-strong El Nino event that caused the 1998 Yangtze River flood. The Pearl River Prevention General Manager predicts that the Pearl River Basin may repeat the 1998 flood. The Yangtze River Prevention General Administration said that the prevention offices at all levels in the basin should closely monitor weather changes, strengthen the monitoring of rain and water conditions, and make plans for disaster prevention and mitigation. (Beijing, April 5, news reporter Guo Miao)