2016 What makes money? It's too late!

Introduction: the most frequently asked question is: what kind of money will you grow this year? Our answer is: Rice is better than corn, corn is better than soybean! Miscellaneous grains and beans dare not be recommended!

In order to protect the interests of farmers and prevent "cheap grain from harming farmers", the state continued to implement the minimum purchase price policy in major rice producing areas in 2016, according to the NDRC's website. Taking into account the cost of grain production, market supply and demand, domestic and foreign market prices and industrial development and other factors, with the approval of the State Council, the minimum purchase prices of early indica rice (third grade), middle and late indica rice and japonica rice produced in 2016 are 133 yuan, 138 yuan and 155 yuan per 50 kg respectively. According to national policy, this year may be the last year for countries to introduce minimum purchase prices for rice and wheat. When the economic situation enters the new normal stage, the planting income of most crops shows a downward trend, rice as food rations, the income remains relatively stable. In areas where there are conditions for the development of rice cultivation, rice is undoubtedly the best choice.

The state has always attached great importance to the corn industry. A few days ago, at the briefing on the central corn policy, the state made it clear that it would "establish a corn producer subsidy system to maintain the basic stability of corn planting income in advantageous producing areas." According to the analysis and judgment, calculated on the basis of 14% moisture dry grain, it is no problem to plant corn comprehensive income (grain price + subsidy) 0.9 yuan this year. In 2016, planting corn is still the best and safest choice in the dominant corn producing areas of Northeast China. Here is a key question: where is the advantageous producing area for corn planting? Personally, I think: in the four provinces and regions of Northeast China, in the past 20 years, your area has been mainly planting corn every year, so it is very possible that you are the dominant producing areas of corn.

The state has a very clear policy of reducing the area of corn in the "sickle bend" area and increasing crops such as soybeans, potatoes, silage corn, miscellaneous grains and beans. It can be said that the increase in soybean area this year has become a foregone conclusion. In the near future, the price of soybean in the northern market will be mainly stable, and it is difficult to make a large adjustment. This is because at this stage, the purchase price of grass-roots gross grain has fallen to 3300 yuan / ton, the price has dropped seriously, and farmers' psychology of cherishing sales has gradually increased. The progress of sales will be delayed temporarily, but in the long run, the weak market on the demand side is very difficult to change. In addition, there are still nearly 50% of the surplus grain in the market. The current situation of slow consumption and adequate supply may force farmers to choose to sell soybeans at low prices. In 2016, the state continued to carry out pilot soybean target price reform in the three northeastern provinces and Inner Mongolia Autonomous region. The target price level of soybean is 4800 yuan per ton, which is the same as that in 2014 and 2015. It is believed that the profit level should be similar to that of 14 or 15 years (that is, no money). The area has increased, the market is weak, subsidies have not increased, and there is an adequate supply of soybeans in the international market. To sum up, there is no good news for soybeans. It is conceivable that soybean earnings in 2016 will continue to decline on the basis of low yields in 2015.

Miscellaneous grain production, for example: millet. In the last autumn of 2014, farmers sold grain of more than 5 yuan per jin; in the last autumn of 2015, it was 1.8 yuan per jin. See a material, a county in Heilongjiang Province, introducing the local "sickle bend area" to reduce the area of corn. It is mentioned that the production area of local miscellaneous grains and beans this year has increased by 900% over the previous year. Miscellaneous grains and beans, ha ha, we dare not recommend!