Press the bar or leave the bar? When the double festival comes, how can we make more money?

Recently, the market has risen, and the personnel in the industry generally think that there is more room for pig prices to rise, and the market is expected in September, but many farmers are worried about the saying that it will fall every festival, and the collapse of the Dragon Boat Festival still lingers in the minds of farmers. Seeing some analysts on the Internet saying that pig prices will rise to stimulate consumption during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, farmers are still muttering in their hearts whether pig prices are going to fall again during the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day. They are ready to sell pigs in the pen.

According to the analysis of people in the industry, the rise in pig prices has been considered from both sides of supply and demand. Farmers say that "every festival will fall" is a morbid law of domestic pig prices for a long time. We cannot say that anyone must be right, but "every festival will fall" is what everyone does not want to see.

The market is not only determined by the pattern of supply and demand, but the important impact of changes in both ends of supply and demand on the trend of the market is indisputable. If the supply exceeds the demand, then the price is generally lower, and if the supply falls short of the demand, then the price tends to strengthen. The pig market in September was originally a scene of tight supply and increased demand, so the personnel in the industry said that the pig price would rise. But what we have been worried about is the change in the pattern of supply and demand. From an objective point of view, there is little possibility of a big change in demand, so only the supply side has problems. The increase in pig prices in September will be problematic.

The stock of live pigs is not good, and the stock of breeding sows is not good. Recently, the supply of pigs in the market has been tight, but the Mid-Autumn Festival is coming soon, and after the Mid-Autumn Festival is followed by National Day, some farmers begin to worry about "falling every festival." thinking of the sharp fall after the Dragon Boat Festival in June, hurry up to bring live pigs out of the pen. Once the number of farmers in this way is too large, then the supply of pigs in the market immediately becomes relaxed, and the butcher breathes a sigh of relief, thinking that you began to sell before I came up with a countermeasure.

Because farmers are worried about "falling every festival", there is panic selling in the market, because panic selling, pig source loose slaughtering enterprises lower pig prices, see pig prices fall, farmers more believe that "every festival will fall", the next festival and choose to sell, that is another wave of pig prices falling.

Why is there such a saying as "it always falls at every festival"? In fact, this is a vicious circle!

As a matter of fact, many farmers themselves are aware of this vicious circle, but why do they choose to do so in large numbers again and again? There is a story in which a robber robbed a truckload of people and told the passengers that the first person would pay 100 yuan, the second person 200 yuan and the third person 300 yuan. Before he finished, the passengers lined up to pay the money. I was afraid that I would be robbed more at the back, and I even forgot to resist.

In early September, selling heavily for fear of falling every festival will only gradually destroy the pig market in September. For farmers, the appropriate hurdle or the best choice, the Chinese people's mentality of following the trend is not advisable, do not see other people selling pigs also hurry out of the hurdle, you know, make money is always a calm few people.