Is the price of pigs starting to rise? How to make more money in hurdles

People are already very upset about the rise and fall of the price of hairy pigs. Just don't look at it, but the pigs in the enclosure are bigger, and there are a lot of people who ask 240-260 jin of pigs these days. I want to press the fence, but I am afraid that the pig is too big and deduct too much weight; if I want to sell the pig, I am afraid that the price will rise when it is sold out.

As a result of extraordinary times, but also for reasons of fear of responsibility, many analysts began to hesitate, the judgment for the future is both bullish and bearish. This makes those who have pigs in their hands more bewildered. Is this for sale or not?

Look at the views of all sides

Investigation of Changshu Pig Farm

Recently, the cost investigation team of Changshu Development and Reform Commission conducted a dynamic investigation on the pig production cost of a large-scale pig farm in Shenshi Village, Meili Town, Changshu City:

According to the survey, the average price of the farm this month is 900 yuan per 50 kilograms, which remains unchanged from last year, down 1.1 percent from the previous month. Due to the decline in concentrate prices and the reduction in the quantity of concentrate, production costs decreased slightly from the previous month, but increased slightly compared with the previous year. Aquaculture revenue increased slightly from the previous month, with a per capita net profit of 410.59 yuan, down 5.44 percent from last year; and a slight increase of 1.3 percent over the previous month.

The average weight of live pigs in the farm this month was 95.3 kg, a slight decrease of 0.94% over the same period last year; and a slight decrease of 0.52% over the previous month. Pig sales this month were lower than last month, with 153 pigs out of the pen, down 47.42% from last year, and 2.55% lower than last month.

The total cost of pig production on the farm this month was 1322.81 yuan, a slight increase of 0.56% over the same period last year and a slight decrease of 2.47% over the previous month. Among them, the cost of concentrate feed per head was 653.25 yuan, down 7.22% from last year and 0.71% from last month. The average wholesale price of concentrate feed (mainly corn, wheat bran, soybean meal, etc.) was 2.57 yuan / kg during the survey period, down 1.53% from last year and 4.46% from the previous month. Among them, corn is 2.2 yuan / kg, wheat bran is 1.53 yuan / kg and soybean meal is 3.3 yuan / kg.

The average output value of pigs this month was 1733.4 yuan, down 0.93% from the same period last year and 1.6% from the previous month.

The average price of corn purchased by the farmer this month is 2.2 yuan / kg, the average selling price of live pigs is 18 yuan / kg, and the specific price of pig grain is 8.18: 1, which is 6: 1 higher than the break-even point of our province, indicating that the profits of pig farming in August are still high.

According to farmers, pig prices may pick up slightly in the coming months and will continue to operate at a high level.

Shandong testing information:

The latest monitoring of Shandong Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Information Center shows that in the 34th week, Shandong pig and pork prices fluctuated at a high level and fell weakly, with a profit of about 500 yuan for a fattening pig.

According to the fixed-point monitoring of the prices of 26 markets in the province by the Shandong Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Information Center, in the 34th week, the price of live pigs in Shandong was 18.05 yuan per kilogram, up 1.35 percent from the same period last year, down 0.61 percent from the previous month; the price of pork was 30.35 yuan per kilogram, up 5.05 percent from the same period last year, up 0.53 percent from the previous month; and the price of pig grain was 9.77 percent, up 26.79 percent from the same period last year, down 2.24 percent from the previous month.

Animal husbandry experts believe that after the Beginning of Autumn, the temperature dropped rapidly, affected by "autumn fat" pork consumption gradually improved, the market warmed up obviously. Coupled with the opening of school in September and the intensification of stock preparation by slaughtering enterprises near the Mid-Autumn Festival, pig prices continue to fall, and pig prices are expected to fluctuate narrowly in the near future.

During the 18 years of pig farming, retail investors' point of view:

At present, the price of a fat pig is more than 9 yuan. If the pig is not enough, you can press the fence. Now it is a good stage for big pigs to grow. The price of 8.5 yuan is more profitable than the current price of 9 yuan. The price of 8.5 yuan may be up to the end of the year. I personally think that this price will only go up, not lower. If you want to set this price, raising pigs in the next few years will be even better than this year. The reasons are as follows:

First, pigs sold for 10 yuan this year, no more than 20% of the people sold, sold for 8 yuan to 9 yuan, catch high-priced piglets without big profit, great risk, they will not raise in the future.

Second, pig farmers are the elderly who raise pigs at home. They all want to raise pigs to earn some money for their own use in order to reduce the negativity of the next generation. They can't earn a lot of money and work hard. The children will not let the old people raise them at home.

Third, self-breeding, now I can raise as many sows as I can. There are very few piglets for takeout.

Fourth, those who specialize in fattening pigs go to big pig farms to catch pigs. The price of piglets in big pig farms will not be low. There are nine out of ten losses for those who catch pigs, and there are many to raise. If you lose a lot, you won't raise it after you lose it.

(Xinhua News Agency)