Must be highly vigilant against potential food crisis

Food security risks exist

After reading the following article, combined with my field visits to Shandong, Henan, Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Liaoning, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Hunan, Hubei, Sichuan, Guangdong, Hainan, Heilongjiang, Xizang, Beijing, Tianjin and other places in recent years, I am extremely worried and even worried about the current food security problem in China. We must pay close attention to the food crisis, which, if not handled properly, could lead to war and even political instability.

I think the hidden dangers of food security in our country may exist objectively for the following main reasons:

First, farmers 'enthusiasm for growing grain has been greatly reduced

In the past, it was "Huguang ripens, the world is full", but now farmers in Huguang, Guangzhou, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are unwilling to plant land, and even in Hainan and other three-season rice areas, farmers only plant one season. Farmers in southern grain-producing areas cultivate land only to ensure their own food security. The population of Northeast China has "negative growth", and farmers willing to engage in agriculture on black land also show a downward trend because the purchase price of corn and other grains is not protected. If you count growing grain as labor force, you lose money. Therefore, farmers are unwilling to grow grain, so long as they grow enough for themselves. Because of the relatively low benefits of farming, those who farm will suffer losses. The large grain-growing counties that contribute 70% to the country are poor counties. It is very dangerous for them to continue for a long time.

Second, on the 1.8 billion mu of cultivated land, not only is grain planted, but houses, factories and towns are also planted.

Even if farming, more willing to grow high value-added vegetables, tobacco, etc., but these crops can not be eaten as food. Long-term cultivation of out-of-season vegetables in Shandong has caused serious pollution of cultivated land and groundwater. In the past, it was "taking grain as the key link and developing in an all-round way". Now it is planting whatever makes money. Under the mode of planting in a swarm, agricultural products are slow to sell seriously, and the input of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and seed fees cannot be recovered. This results in a serious waste of resources.

Third, there may not be so much grain in the state-owned granaries.

Although the state attaches importance to the importance of grain purchase, some granaries eat empty quotas and take state funds. In fact, there may not be so much grain in state-owned granaries. The problems in China's granary exposed above are enough to show that there are problems in grain storage. This is analysed more thoroughly below.

Fourth, although the state attaches importance to research on key scientific issues in grain production, the money has been spent in the wrong direction.

Genetically modified scientists have received 20 to 30 billion yuan in funding, and many crop research and development funds are often hundreds of millions, but the ways developed have little effect on improving grain yield. Many so-called basic research actually have little to do with grain yield increase. The state wants you to improve grain yield. Transforming genes into Arabidopsis thaliana is "the opposite." Transgenic breeding only makes an issue of species. In fact, the main factor affecting grain yield lies in the maintenance of human and cultivated land productivity. In the past, Chairman Mao criticized agricultural universities as "seeing ghosts" in cities, but today's agricultural universities are not only "seeing ghosts", but making "grain" in laboratories_SCI articles that cannot be eaten at all. China's agricultural copy of the United States will have great risks, the Philippines is a lesson from the past. Agriculture in Argentina and Brazil was almost destroyed by GM companies.

Fifth, for a long time, farmland infrastructure has been seriously in arrears, and agriculture is eating the old capital of 30 years ago.

Some people have studied transgenic technology that allows crops to find their own water to drink, but they don't know that such crops can only survive. Most plants in arid areas have small biomass, and some short-lived plants even have a short growth cycle of one or two weeks. The reason is water limitation. It is obvious that water conservancy facilities and water conservancy projects are needed to meet the water demand of crops. Unfortunately, most of the reservoirs left behind by the people's communes in those years have been out of repair for many years, or contracted to individual fish farming, tourism or industrial power generation cooling water and far away farmland irrigation. Farmers are forced to dig wells on the spot, and the efficiency of water conservancy has dropped greatly.

Sixth, economists blindly believe in buying grain on the international market and do not attach importance to local grain production.

There are two things that the Chinese don't say: the price of food and whether people sell it to you. Money should not be eaten. When people starve to death, all the money belongs to them. Those grain-exporting countries understand this very well. Food is a more powerful weapon of war than nuclear weapons! Unfortunately, our mainstream economists are blindly optimistic and overemphasize the role of money.

Seventh, natural disasters

All kinds of floods, droughts, saline-alkali and sandstorms have reached a concentrated outbreak period, and some traditional grain production areas are also facing disaster risks. These natural disasters, combined with the suppression of farmers by domestic and foreign capital, have a clear downward trend in grain production potential.

Eighth, cultivated land is divided into small pieces, which is not conducive to large-scale management and agricultural mechanization has regressed.

Grain production calls for farmer mutual-aid cooperation of new situation. As we all know, the fundamental way out of agriculture lies in mechanization. However, the farmland that has been contracted and divided is fragmented, and the role of large-scale machinery cannot be played. Farmers have to use small equipment. Walking tractors have become the main force of agricultural machinery, which has been regressed for nearly half a century.

Ninth, women and the elderly farming, men into the city, forming a modern version of the farmers "separation"

Industry and cities continue to exploit agriculture, and farmers plunder land for survival, using it for nothing. Women do not have the strength to farm, how to save trouble how to do, close-range pesticide seriously hurt the health of rural women. The agricultural situation of the elderly is worrying. Most of the farmers farming today are post-50s or post-60s, and even post-40s. "After 70 do not want to farm, after 80 will not farm, after 90 do not consider farming." Young and middle-aged people are unwilling to farm. Will the future 1.3 billion Chinese depend on the world to feed them?

Tenth, the gap between urban and rural areas continues to widen

Grain production is getting less and less important to farmers, and practices that call for increasing grain production have nothing to do with grain production. Food is grown by farmers, but their meager profits are divided among fertilizer merchants, pesticide merchants, seed merchants, grain dealers, agricultural officials, agricultural "scientists" and so on.

In order to solve the above problems, the author's suggestion is that the state should gradually restore the public grain system, change all kinds of agricultural subsidies (chemical fertilizers, pesticides, agricultural machinery, agricultural film, seeds, etc.) and those unrelated agricultural research funds directly to farmers, and exchange public grain at high prices. In the cultivation mode, the development of ecological agriculture based on cooperation, so that "tillers have their benefits", so that ecological agriculture has become a new industry envied. The state has grain and sells it to citizens at a fair price. Let the people envy the peasants and let them benefit from paying public grain, instead of being exempted from agricultural taxes, but the peasants are still poorer.