How much does it cost to raise a pig? Pork Price Forecast in 2017
Jiangxi: 750 yuan for raising a pig is predicted that the meat price will be high in 2017!
Unscramble
Production capacity decreases and prices rise.
Xu, director of the Comprehensive Department of Jiangxi Animal Husbandry Bureau, said that pig production capacity has dropped significantly after two or three years of losses. Especially in 2014, farmers were in a state of serious losses, the pig industry accelerated the reshuffle, and small and medium-sized farms in the province closed down one after another; in 2015, the new environmental protection law and "water ten" and "soil ten" were introduced one after another, and many key pig counties and cities stepped up the implementation of the "three districts Plan" and dismantled or shut down a number of pig farms that did not comply with the laws and regulations. With the superposition of multiple factors, pig prices remained high in 2016.
Director Xu predicts that pork prices may remain high in 2017. There are two reasons: first, the recovery of production capacity will take a certain amount of time; second, the new environmental protection law requires strict requirements, and it is still in the stage of continuous regulation, and the production capacity that does not comply with the new environmental protection law will be suppressed if each region is divided into no-maintenance areas.
"the special prices of pork belly, refined pork and ribs are 12.98 yuan / jin, 14.98 yuan / jin and 24.98 yuan / jin respectively." This is the price that the reporter saw in a large supermarket on Dieshan Road in Nanchang City on January 23 this year. Customer Aunt Liu told the reporter that the price of meat has always been very expensive, especially in the first half of last year, when 16 yuan per jin of pork was bought, and after a drop in the second half of the year, this year's Spring Festival is approaching, consumption increases, and meat prices begin to rise again.
Aunt Liu said: "Chinese New year, the children are back from other places, meat is essential." The family likes to eat braised ribs, but the price of these ribs is three or four yuan higher than in December. "
Story
Raise a pig from a loss of 300 yuan to a profit of 750 yuan
Mr. Zhang, an individual farmer in Ruihong Town, Yugan County, has raised pigs at home for eight years. In 2009, the pig price market was good, so he increased the scale of breeding, and there was a wave of pig farming in the local area. In early 2012, he invested more than 200,000 yuan and bought more than 300 piglets, but the final price was not satisfactory and made a serious loss.
The following year, Mr. Zhang reduced his investment, but still lost money. Mr. Zhang said that since 2014, many farmers nearby have closed their farms and gone out to work. At that time, the lowest purchase price for live pigs was 5 yuan per jin. Mr. Zhang said, "the cost of raising a pig is about 6 yuan per jin, and for a pig of 300 jin, I have to lose 300 yuan."
A large number of farmers closed down and pig production fell. Pork prices began to rebound in March 2015, when Mr. Zhang bought more than 100 piglets and more than a dozen sows despite family opposition. During this period, Mr. Zhang continued to increase investment and increase the number of piglets. At the end of 2015, he finally sold the first batch of live pigs that turned losses into profits at a price of 8.35 yuan per jin.
Last year, pork prices continued to rise. Mr. Zhang produced more than 200 pigs, earning more than 750 yuan per pig and making a profit of more than 200,000 yuan. He believes that the price of pork is determined by market supply and demand and will not rise and fall rapidly, and he will continue to increase investment and expand his farming scale next year.
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The pig price falling below 9 yuan before the Spring Festival is expected to be dominated by high consolidation.
The pig price falling below 9 yuan before the Spring Festival is expected to be dominated by high consolidation.
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