The present situation of Pig breeding and the Analysis and Forecast of Pig raising Market in 2017

Current situation of pig breeding

Overall situation of pig price: Last week, the average price of domestic ternary pigs was 16.97 yuan/kg, down 0.14 yuan/kg month-on-month; the average price of external ternary pigs was 17.47 yuan/kg, down 0.10 yuan/kg month-on-month. Pig prices stop rising and fall, and pig prices in the future may show a shock upward trend.

Pig profit: December 14, the national pig feed price ratio is 6.8: 1, month-on-month rise 0.1; December 21, the national pig grain price ratio is 9.58: 1, month-on-month rise 1.27.

As of December 23, last week, the profit of national scale breeding was about 380 yuan/head, which was flat compared with the previous month.

Feed cost: Last week, the national corn, soybean meal, wheat bran and compound feed prices were 1645 yuan/ton, 3648 yuan/ton, 1519 yuan/ton and 2750 yuan/ton respectively. Corn prices fell 3.4 month-on-month, soybean meal prices rose 0.4 month-on-month, batch prices were flat month-on-month. As of December 23 last week, the national feed cost was 547 yuan/head, down 2.5 month-on-month.

Circulation slaughter: December 23, the national "meat-pig" average price difference reached 9.68 yuan/kg. As of December 23 last week, the national slaughtering circulation profit was 162 yuan/head, up 3.8 month-on-month.

At present, the pig price as a whole fluctuates, showing a rebound after a small decline, 17 yuan/kg has strong support. Although the haze in the whole country has dissipated to some extent, most areas welcome rain and snow weather again, and the pig transportation continues to be poor. After the winter solstice, the pork demand falls somewhat, but the later acquisition resistance will support the pig prices in Northeast China, Hubei, Shandong, Henan, Beijing, Anhui, Jiangxi and other places to rebound and rise. Before New Year's Day, rain and snow weather will still affect the distribution of live pigs in some areas, and the difficulty of pig purchase is still in place. It is expected that pig prices will remain volatile and rising before New Year's Day, but the range is limited.

For the pig industry outlook for 2017, the main trends are as follows:

Policy: From December 19 to 20, the Central Rural Work Conference clarified the direction of agricultural structure adjustment next year. The direction of pig industry in 2017 is mainly to optimize the regional layout of pigs, accelerate the transformation and upgrading of pig breeding in the southern water network area, and guide pig breeding to transfer to the main corn producing areas and areas with large environmental capacity. Coordinate corn planting reduction and expand pig production capacity to make up for the relative shortage of pig stock and supply.

Enterprise aspect: Zhengbang Technology is rich in land reserves at present, and ensures rapid expansion of production capacity through non-public offering stock investment projects. It is estimated that 3 - 3.5 million pigs will be sold in 2017. Meanwhile, it promotes breeding service station projects, improves feed sales volume, and further improves customer stickiness through one-stop breeding services. Eagle farming and animal husbandry actively upgrade the light asset breeding mode, the asset transfer of pigsty and supporting facilities is still in order, the pace of capacity expansion will be accelerated in the future, and at the same time, cooperation with Sha County snacks will be started to reduce the cost of sales channel layout and put advertisements to obtain revenue.