How much is the potato now? what will be the trend of the market in the future?

Original title: potato price doubles analyst: the market will not last long and sell as soon as possible

According to the China Rural Voice "three Rural China" report, since the potato came on the market this year, the price has been lower than in previous years, about 80 or 90 cents per kilogram, and the sales situation is also lukewarm, while towards the end of the year, potato prices have continued to rise. prices in some producing areas have leapt from a few cents to two yuan per kilogram, giving some growers the joy of keeping the clouds open and seeing the moon!

Since Tudou went public this year, sales have been "deserted". Since mid-November, potato prices have soared continuously. Ma Qingliang, a major potato grower in Dingxi, Gansu Province, told reporters that due to the drought this summer, although the appearance of potatoes was not affected, the output decreased significantly, and the number of sweet potatoes increased significantly, so they can only be sold as raw potatoes processed by starch.

Ma Qingliang: the output this year is obviously not as good as that of last year, with a reduction of about 40%, but the price is OK. When it first went on the market, it was about the same as last year. The price has gone up in the last month or two, and the price per catty is 3 or 40 cents higher than that of last year. The income of growers should be good.

In sharp contrast to the reduction in potato production in Dingxi, Gansu Province, the potato harvest planted in Jimusar County this year is still good. A reporter from the potato fresh-keeping store in Xindi Township, Jimusar County saw that due to the continuous rise in prices, it jumped from eighty to nine cents a kilogram when it was just ripe, to more than two yuan. Potato growers screened and packed the potatoes in stock again, ready to be shipped to Urumqi, Beiyuanchun and other vegetable wholesale markets. Qu Han, president of Huinong Agricultural industrialization Cooperative, Jimusar County:

Qu Han: our Huinong Cooperative planted more than 5,000 mu of potatoes in the spring. When it was purchased at the end of September, the price of potatoes was very low. At that time, it was eighty or nine cents, or about one yuan. Now we have more than 1,000 tons in stock. Now the price has risen to between two and two twenty yuan, and the benefit is very considerable.

Jimusar County is the main potato producing area, and it is also the country's "hometown of high starch potatoes". Because of the unique reverse temperate climate on the north slope of Tianshan Mountain, the potatoes produced here are delicious and have high starch content, so they are loved by people inside and outside Xinjiang. This year, Jimusar County has planted a total of 32900 mu of potatoes, with an average yield of about 2500 kg per mu, with a total production of about 84500 tons of potatoes in the county. Qu Hancheng told reporters that the cooperative is mainly engaged in large-scale potato cultivation, and the potatoes planted by their cooperative have had a bumper harvest this year, and members of the cooperative are all overjoyed.

Qu Han: we plan to plant another 5,000 to 6,000 mu of potatoes next year. The reason for the price increase this year is very special. At the beginning, we did not expect that the price would rise so fast. At that time, we thought that the price would definitely rise, but we did not expect it to rise so fast. This reason is mainly due to the fact that the potatoes in the customs have been affected, and the output this year is relatively low, so the supply of potatoes is insufficient. Led to a rise in the price of potatoes.

Although potato production has been reduced in some areas this year, the strong market has made up for farmers' drought losses to a certain extent. Zhang Hongrui, an analyst at Zhuochuang Information Market, said that the recent potato price is mainly supported by strong market demand.

Zhang Hongrui: in October, a large number of goods entered the cellar, coupled with the impact of freezing damage in North China, the supply of goods outside the cellar shrank sharply, the price of the goods entering the cellar was high, and the sale of potatoes in the northwest shrank obviously. the main source of goods went into the cellar, and very few supplies went to the market. most merchants turn to North China to purchase goods, resulting in high purchasing heat, a prominent shortage of market supply and a continuous rise in potato prices. With the continuous increase in market prices, consignors' sentiment of sparing sales continues to spread, the performance of supply is weak, and prices continue to rise.

For the future trend of potato prices, Zhang Hongrui analysis said that recently, as prices gradually reached a high level, it is difficult to continue to rise, coupled with weak procurement efforts in sales areas, prices began to stop rising and stabilized.

Zhang Hongrui: in December, the quality price of potatoes deviated obviously, a large number of low-priced vegetables entered the market, and potato trading entered a stagnant channel. Entering the traditional loan repayment month, affected by capital and mentality, the seller's intention to sell goods gradually increased, but sales area transactions were weak, procurement efforts were slow to boost, and market prices began to loosen step by step.

According to the reporter's understanding, dealers in Gansu and * producing areas generally believe that the current price of local potatoes is higher than that in other areas, and it is estimated that it will rise in the later stage. Based on the bullish view of the market, dealers snapped up inventory. However, analysts remind growers that the current good market will not last long and advise growers to sell as soon as possible to prevent inventory pressure next year.

Zhang Hongrui: this year, the overall pit stock in the national production areas has increased significantly compared with last year, and under the influence of the sentiment of cherishing sales in the early stage, the digestion process of cellar storage in the production areas is obviously slower than that of last year. If the digestion of inventory continues to be weak before the year, it will lead to concentrated shipments after the year, and the market may not be optimistic. Zhuo Chuang suggests that shippers reasonably choose the time to get out of the warehouse under the psychological price, and digest their own inventory in an appropriate amount, so as to alleviate the inventory pressure next year.