Why banana prices are depressed Expert analysis predicts: Short-term supply and demand situation is difficult to improve

Original title: banana market downturn expert: short-term supply and demand situation is difficult to improve

Beijing, December 20 (Reporter Yang Yan) according to China Rural Voice "three Rural China" report, after a good year of bananas in the previous two years, the banana market this year is not optimistic and continues to be depressed. At present, there are a large number of bananas on the market in Guangxi and Hainan, but the reporter visited many farmers' markets and large supermarkets and found that the price of bananas has continued to decline in the past month, and has now dropped to 3 yuan / kg. What should the growers do at such a low price?

Recently, in Beijing Xinfadi Wholesale Market, the reporter saw that the price of bananas was 3 yuan / kg. Several fruit stall vendors told reporters that the price of bananas has fallen by 25% in the past month. Boss Chen, a fruit vendor,

Boss Chen: at the beginning of November, the price of bananas was stable at 4 yuan / kg. After that, a large number of bananas went on the market, and the price continued to fall, and now it has dropped to 3 yuan / kg.

At present, a large number of bananas are on the market in Guangxi and Hainan. On the one hand, banana farmers are busy cutting bananas and shipping them, on the other hand, they are worried about such low banana prices. Wu Dan, a banana grower in Yulin, Guangxi, told reporters that now the banana purchase price is 0.4 yuan 0.5 yuan per jin, and it was even cheaper earlier, only 0.3 yuan 0.4 yuan per catty. Excluding the cost this year, it will lose money.

Wudan: I have planted more than 100 mu of bananas, and the output is all right. There are 50 to 60 jin of bananas in a tree. 70% or 80% of the ripe bananas on hand have been sold, but the new bananas haven't been sold yet this year, and they may be on the market again in more than 10 days. We used to grow oranges here, but all the oranges have gone bad because of Huanglong disease. In the past two years, we have changed to grow bananas and have formed a banana base of tens of thousands of mu. There are many farmers planting more than 100 mu, and the least are dozens of mu.

According to Zhuochuang Information Monitoring, at present, the price of bananas in Guangxi base is about 0.6 yuan per jin, while the cost of bananas per jin is about 0.8 yuan, and banana farmers will lose 0.2 yuan per jin of bananas. Liu Shuai, an analyst at Zhuochuang Information Market, said that the reason for the sharp decline in banana prices this year is the increase in production, while the market demand is not strong, coupled with the strong competitiveness of imported bananas in the market.

Liu Shuai: the number of bananas in Guangxi has expanded obviously, and the planting area has increased by about 20% this year. The weather is good, and the output has increased by about 30%. A large number of bananas are on the market, but the demand of the end market can not keep up, and the market has become saturated. Another reason is that there are a lot of bananas imported from the Philippines and bananas from South America. All these have caused banana prices to fall again and again.

At present, bananas are in the overlap period of listing, and the supply exceeds demand, which is the direct reason for the continuous decline of banana prices. Liu Shuai predicted that in the short term, with the arrival of New Year's Day and the Spring Festival, fruit prices will rise slightly with the increase in market demand, and banana prices will rise to a certain extent, but only to maintain a weak shock.

Liu Shuai: the price of bananas from Guangxi has entered the late stage of production, and the supply of goods has gradually decreased, but the cold storage of bananas in the market is sufficient, and the merchants do not have a strong intention to purchase in large quantities. In the short term, the price of banana from Guangxi will remain weak and volatile, and it is difficult for the price to rise and fall by more than 0.20 yuan / jin.

At present, all kinds of farmers are facing the plight of losses, and many people choose to stock up and wait for a good price to sell. As the short-term supply and demand situation is difficult to improve, Liu Shuai suggested that banana farmers treat the market rationally and ship goods in time to minimize losses. In addition, do not blindly follow the trend of expansion.

Liu Shuai: growers who have already closed the garden are advised not to expand their seeds blindly and follow suit. They should not only pursue output, but also put quality in the first place. The prices of good and bad bananas vary greatly this year. At this stage, the price of fine bananas is 1.00 / jin, while the price of retail bananas is only 0.60 yuan / jin. The benefits of good bananas will be even more considerable.