Pig price forecast: how will the northern pig price continue to rise in the later stage?

The peak demand season is approaching, pig prices in the north keep rising slightly, and demand in the south begins to improve. On December 1, domestic pig prices rose slightly, with a marked increase in the northeast. The northeast rose as a whole, and the settlement price of butcher enterprises increased by 0.2-0.4 yuan / kg. Shandong pig market is marching gently. On December 1, 2016, the mainstream purchase price of live pigs nationwide was 16.70,17.28yuan / kg, and the reference price was 16.99yuan / kg, up 0.30% from yesterday. The price index of raising pigs on December 1, 2016 was 128.98, up 0.29 from yesterday, with an increase of 0.23% as shown below.

Among the 28 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) on December 1, pig prices rose in 14 provinces, including Shanxi, Fujian, Hubei, Henan, Sichuan and Guizhou up 0.05 yuan / kg, Heilongjiang, Jilin, Inner Mongolia and Anhui up 0.1 yuan / kg. Liaoning and Beijing rose 0.2 yuan / kg, Hebei and Jiangsu rose 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, * fell 0.2 yuan / kg, one region fell.

Price: Shanxi, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shanxi rose 0.1 yuan / kg, Shandong, Hunan, Fujian, Hebei rose 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, Beijing, Jiangsu, Anhui, Guangxi, Jilin, Henan, Guizhou, Inner Mongolia rose 0.2 yuan / kg, * fell 0.2 yuan / kg. Settlement price: Sichuan rose 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, Henan, Shaanxi, Hubei, Zhejiang, Beijing, Anhui, Hunan, Shanxi and Guangdong rose 0.1 yuan / kg, Jiangsu, Gansu and Shandong rose 0.2 yuan / kg, Jilin rose 0.2-0.3 yuan / kg, Liaoning rose 0.3 yuan / kg, Heilongjiang Zhang 0.4-0.5 yuan / kg. Purchase price: Henan, Shanxi and Fujian rose 0.1 yuan / kg, Shandong and Hebei rose 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, Jilin, Inner Mongolia, Tianjin, Hunan and Zhejiang rose 0.2 yuan / kg, Heilongjiang Zhang 0.2-0.4 yuan / kg, a small number of areas are stable. The north is affected by the snowfall in the northeast, transportation is blocked, farmers' sentiment of cherishing sales is increased, the acquisition of slaughtering enterprises is not smooth, and short-term prices are expected to rise slightly. Supply in the south is general, but demand in some areas has improved, and it is expected to be stable in the short term with a slight increase in part.

Northeast: rising overall. Jilin and Heilongjiang rose 0.1, the overall increase is very small, the main current price is 17.4-18 yuan / kg; Liaoning rose 0.2 yuan / kg, the main current price 17.2-17.6 yuan / kg Affected by the snowfall, the trend of pig prices in Northeast China is strong, and large farms and farmers all have the psychology of standing up to the price. On December 1, some slaughtering enterprises raised the purchase price by about 0.2 yuan / kg, and the price of pigs in Northeast China remained high in the country. The price of some big pigs has risen to 9 yuan / jin.

Heilongjiang Harbin Meat Factory rose 0.4 yuan / kg local pig purchase price 17.4 yuan / kg, yesterday settled price 17.8-17.9 yuan / kg, weight 116-117 kg, short-term price may be stable.

Jilin Yushu Sihai Food rose 0.2 yuan / kg the mainstream purchase price of local good hybrid pigs was 17.0 yuan / kg and 17.2 yuan / kg. Yesterday, the settlement price was 17.3 yuan / kg and the weight was 120 kg. There is still a possibility of a small increase in short-term prices. Gongzhuling Gaojin rose 0.3 yuan / kg Haoliang hybrid pig purchase price 17.2-17.4 yuan / kg, yesterday's settlement price was 17.5 yuan / kg, all weighed 120 kilograms, affected by snowfall, the price is still likely to rise slightly in the short term. Fuyu Yurun rose 0.3 yuan / kg local pig purchase price 17.3-17.4 yuan / kg, yesterday settled price 17.7 yuan / kg, weight 117 kg, snow affected pig harvest, there may be a small increase in the short term.

Liaoning Qianxi Crane rose 0.3 yuan / kg Haoliang hybrid pig purchase price 17.2-17.4 yuan / kg, yesterday the settlement average price 17.6 yuan / kg, all weight 119 kg, snow affected the acquisition, farmers cherish sales; Shenyang Furun rose 0.3 yuan / kg Haoliang hybrid purchase price 17.2-17.4 yuan / kg, yesterday settlement price 17.6 yuan / kg, weight 117 kg, is expected to be stable in the short-term price.

North China: the price continues to rise. Inner Mongolia rose 0.1yuan / kg, Beijing and Tianjin steadily rose 0.10.2yuan / kg, the main current price was 17-17.4yuan / kg, Henan improved pig settlement price to Beijing 17.717.8yuan / kg, Tianjin local improved pig market price is 17.2-17.4kg, Beijing due to the influence of haze weather and northeast snowfall, the acquisition is more difficult, and the price rises. Hebei local rise in 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, mainstream price 16.6-17.2 yuan / kg, butcher enterprises more stable prices wait and see, but the market price rose slightly, Shijiazhuang, Xingtai improved pig price 16.8-17.0 yuan / kg, farmers hesitate to sell, enterprise acquisition is not smooth; Shanxi slightly rose 0.05 yuan / kg, the mainstream price 16.4-17.3 yuan / kg, up 0.2 yuan / kg compared with the same period last week. Snow fell in some areas, transportation was blocked, the acquisition of slaughtering enterprises was not smooth, and the settlement price of enterprises rose again.

Wen's price of 0.2 yuan / kg in Cangzhou, Hebei Province is 17.6 yuan / kg, 17.4 yuan / kg and 115 kg, respectively. It is mainly sold to Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei local markets. Pig sales are OK, but pig prices are easy to rise but hard to fall. Xingtai Nangong Qianxi Crane stable local Haoliang miscellaneous pig purchase price 16.20 yuan / kg, local improved pig mainstream purchase price 16.80 yuan / kg, yesterday settlement price is 16.80-16.85 yuan / kg, body weight is 115-120 kg, farmers are very reluctant to sell, pig prices are easy to rise but difficult to fall Shijiazhuang Kailunda Foods stable local thoroughbred pigs bought 16.8 yuan / kg, good hybrid pigs in 16.2-16.4 yuan / kg, yesterday the average settlement price was 17.0 yuan / kg, weighing 115 kilograms.

Huazhong: pig prices rose steadily and slightly. Jiangxi is stable Henan rose steadily and slightly, rising 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, mainstream price 16.4-17.3 yuan / kg, slaughtering enterprise purchase price 16.4-17.8 yuan / kg, pig farm price 16.4-17.3 yuan / kg, large pig farm mainstream price 16.4-17.1 yuan / kg, a small number of pig farms 17.1-17.3 yuan / kg, Xinxiang improved pig price 16.6 yuan 16.8 yuan / kg The acquisition of butcher enterprises is not smooth, and the outflow of local pig sources is serious. Recently, local pig prices are easy to rise and difficult to fall. Henan is actually stable, farmers cherish sales, the acquisition of slaughtering enterprises is not good, the price is stable, rising slightly, rising 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, the main current price 16.6-17 yuan / kg, the two lakes are affected by the price rise in Henan, or make the local pig supply tight, driving prices up.

East China: the price of live pigs shows a stable and rising trend as a whole. Shanghai and Anhui are stable, Shandong slightly up 0.1 yuan / kg, mainstream price 16.6-17.4 yuan / kg, Jiaodong Peninsula high price 17.0 yuan / kg, Linyi slaughtering enterprise purchase price up 0.1 yuan / kg, Yantai, Weihai, Weifang, Qingdao stable slaughtering enterprise purchase price 16.6-17.1 yuan / kg, pig farm mainstream price 16.6-17.4 yuan / kg, pig supply is still available. The acquisition of slaughtering enterprises is general, but under the influence of the Northeast, prices are easy to rise but difficult to fall. Fujian stabilized, the main current price 16.3-17 yuan / kg; Jiangsu mainstream price 16.6-17.5 yuan / kg, reference price 17.05 yuan / kg, up 0.1-0.2 yuan / kg, Jiangsu and Anhui temporarily stable, affected by the rising prices in the north, farmers are reluctant to sell.