Egg price market analysis: which one sings when egg prices rise first and then fall within a week?

In the past few days, because most parts of the north are too worried about the impact of rain and snow, and it is difficult to transport eggs from the producing areas, egg prices in the Beijing market take the lead to rise, while Shandong, Liaoning and other places follow suit. However, after the market digestion and improved weather in the past few days, it seems that the egg market will enter the downward channel again.

When it goes up and down, what is the egg market singing? Will the price of eggs continue to be strong in the future, or will it cool back?

In the past few days, a cold wave of cooling and snowfall hit. At the Sanba Road convenience Market in Decheng District, Dezhou City, Shandong Province, the owner of the egg stall told reporters that the price of eggs is now about 0.5 yuan higher than that of some time ago, reaching 3.5 yuan per jin.

Egg stall owner: 3.40 yuan (one jin). Now the money goes up, basically, the egg goes up.

There has been a lot of trouble in the past two days. In the past two days, as soon as there are fewer chickens in the cold, we still have to raise money.

Data show that since November 20, egg prices across the country have risen steadily, and the price increases are mainly concentrated in Beijing, Shandong, Liaoning and other places. Zhang Luyan, an analyst at Zhuochuang Information Market, said that this round of egg price increases are caused by bad weather such as cooling and snowfall.

Zhang Luyan: due to a wide range of cooling and snowfall from the 20th to the 21st, the downstream links are worried that this weather will cause difficulties in egg transportation, and more supplies are stored in advance. There has been a temporary improvement in the delivery of goods on the market, and the supply of eggs is slightly tight. The price of eggs in most producing areas has increased by 0.05 yuan / jin.

However, according to the reporter's understanding, with the improvement of the weather, the supply of goods in the producing areas can be shipped out smoothly, but the price of eggs has once again entered the channel of decline. Looking at nearly a month, the overall price of eggs in the national production areas showed a downward trend. On November 19, the national average price of eggs was 3.42 yuan per jin, down 0.18 yuan per catty compared with the same period last month, and 0.71 yuan per catty compared with this year's peak in early September, according to data from the one-mu platform. This shows that the most important factor affecting the overall market trend of eggs is the relationship between supply and demand. Cuckoo, a market analyst for one mu of land, said that the impact of weather, feed and other factors is small, and the duration will not be long.

Cuckoo: since the beginning of winter, large-scale snowfall in the north has affected the transportation of eggs, but the price of eggs in the producing area is not affected by the weather, so the price is affected by supply and demand. However, the price of eggs in the sales area was affected by the weather, so under the influence of rain and snow across the country in mid-November, prices rose briefly and continued to fall. However, from the perspective of the overall supply of eggs throughout the country, the stock of laying hens in Northeast China, Inner Mongolia, North China and Central China is sufficient, and the overall egg price will show a trend of stable and slight decline in the coming period, and egg prices in the sales area will jump during the extreme weather period, but will gradually fall back after the weather resumes.

Compared with the stability of food prices and the sharp rise and fall of small vegetables, spring onions, ginger and garlic, in fact, in recent years, the overall price of eggs has been maintained in a stable state. Combined with the law of egg prices in recent years, the reporter found that egg prices have two small peaks every year, the first from the end of last year to the Spring Festival next year, and the second around the Mid-Autumn Festival. These two price increases are mainly affected by festive factors. As a result, cuckoo, an analyst with one mu of land, predicts that egg prices will still rise.

Cuckoo: at the end of this year, without the impact of a serious epidemic, egg prices are expected to reach a small peak at the end of the year, but the increase may be lower than that of the same period in previous years.

From the current national egg supply capacity, the supply is relatively adequate, for farmers, the competitive pressure is also relatively large. Judging from the current prices, the income level of farmers is maintained at a low profit, so cuckoos advise farmers not to hesitate to sell.

Cuckoo: if there are eliminated laying hens in the farmers' deposit column, it is recommended to come out at the right time, pay attention to the heat preservation and cold protection of laying hens in cold weather, and remember not to save eggs and bet on rising, thus delaying the best time for the sale of eggs.

Zhuochuang Information also reminds you that in the first half of 2016, stuffed chicken seedlings have been laid and entered the peak laying period, the backup supply has increased steadily, the number of old chickens waiting to be eliminated in the market is small, the supply of old eggs is on the low side, and the supply of peak eggs is sufficient. It is recommended that farmers take advantage of the opportunity to ship goods, do not bet on the rise in inventory.