Anhui glutinous rice market price is booming in the short term, what is the planting benefit of farmers?

In the past two years, the market of glutinous rice is very different from hybrid rice and conventional japonica rice, and its market price remains relatively stable. Anhui glutinous rice has entered a full harvest period this year, what is the current market situation? What are the changes in farmers' planting benefits?

The harvest in the producing area is sad and happy.

In recent years, due to the development of yellow rice wine brewing industry, pastry and food health industry, the market demand for glutinous rice is increasing year by year, and the domestic planting area of glutinous rice is also expanding. Glutinous rice cultivation in Anhui Province is mainly concentrated in Huaiyuan, Fengtai, Shou County, Huoqiu and Wangjiang, Zongyang, Susong, Wuhu and other counties and cities along the Huaihe River.

Cui Beikui, Zhonghuang Village, Yanhe Township, Huaiyuan County, has planted 100 mu of glutinous rice this season. "I have been harvesting glutinous rice since the 11th of this month. I will harvest as much as the rural broker orders." He told reporters that the local weather conditions are suitable for the growth of glutinous rice this year. Judging from the current situation, the average yield of glutinous rice is 1500 jin (wet rice, with a moisture content of 30%), an increase of more than 50 jin / mu over last year. However, glutinous rice growers in the areas along the Yangtze River in Anhui Province affected by the flood in early July were not so lucky. All 200 mu of glutinous rice in Yang Shanfa, Zhanghu Town, Wangjiang County were affected, and the final yield was only 800 jin (wet rice, moisture content 30%). The yield is more than 700 jin / mu less than last year. Xu Pingdao, deputy general manager of Jinmai Group of Pujiwei Farm in Tongling City, told the reporter that the flood in early July submerged part of the waxy rice fields on the farm, and Rain Water, which was continuous in late September, also caused more than 30, 000 mu of early-maturing glutinous rice to sprout and lodge in a large area, resulting in a decrease in rice yield and quality of early-maturing glutinous rice. Judging from the harvested early-maturing glutinous rice, the average yield per unit area is 1000 jin / mu, which is more than 30% lower than that of the normal year. If the weather conditions are not too abnormal in the later stage, 50,000 mu of late-maturing glutinous rice may maintain the normal yield level.

Wu Pengling, president of the grain association of Jinshe Township, Congyang County, Anhui Province, told reporters that this year, the township planted 28000 mu of glutinous rice, accounting for more than 90 percent of the township's arable land. The cultivated land in Congyang County covers an area of more than 1 million mu, of which the planting area of glutinous rice is about 800000 mu. Due to the abnormal climate, all the glutinous rice fields in the polder area of Jinshe Township were flooded and lost their harvest. Only 6000-7000 mu of early-maturing glutinous rice had a harvest, with an average yield of 1400-500jin (wet rice with a moisture content of 20-25%), slightly lower than last year. Huaiyuan County is also one of the main growing areas of glutinous rice in Anhui Province. due to the relatively high comparative benefits of planting glutinous rice, this year's glutinous rice planting area of 830000 mu, an increase of 30, 000 mu over last year, with an average yield of 550kg per mu (standard rice), basically the same as last year.

There is a big gap in farmers' income.

Xu Pingdao told reporters that at this time last year, the purchase price of glutinous rice in the new season market was 1.6 yuan / jin (dried rice, moisture content 14.5%), rising to 1.9 yuan / jin this year. In Jinshe Township, the market purchase price of glutinous rice for new season also rose to 1.6 yuan per jin (wet rice), more than 0.4 yuan per jin higher than the same period last year. Similar to the situation in the glutinous rice market along the Yangtze River, Cui Beikui told reporters that the purchase price of wet glutinous rice in Huaiyuan County is about 1.4-1.5 yuan per jin, and that of dried rice is about 1.8 yuan per jin, more than 0.2 yuan per jin higher than last year. In the Wuwei market, the purchase price of glutinous rice in the new season is 171-176 yuan / 100 jin, the moisture requirement is less than 14%, and the market price is 2-5 yuan / 100 jin higher than that in the previous period. Most of the grain sources are high-moisture grain, which is too high, so it needs to be dried and finished in time. In Shucheng County, the purchase price of glutinous rice was maintained at 1.7 yuan / jin (standard rice) in October, but after November, the purchase price of glutinous rice market quickly rose to 1.85 yuan / jin (standard rice), an increase of 0.25 yuan / jin over the same period last year.

Although the market of glutinous rice is good, the gap between farmers' planting income is widening. Cui Beikui calculated to the reporter that this year, glutinous rice needs to invest 18 jin per mu of seeds, 4.4yuan per jin, seed cost 79.2 yuan / mu, compound fertilizer and urea cost 170yuan / mu, pesticide cost 100yuan / mu, weeding cost 80yuan / mu, agricultural machinery cost 120yuan / mu, labor fee 80yuan / mu, land circulation fee 500yuan / mu, a total investment of 1130 yuan / mu. According to the per unit yield of 1500 jin (wet rice) and the market sales price of 1.4yuan / jin, the output value per mu is 2100 yuan, after deducting various expenses, the gross income per mu is 970 yuan. Compared with last year, the income per mu increased by about 90 yuan. However, the planting income of farmers along the river is not optimistic. "I have been busy for nothing this year." Yang Shanfa told reporters that he invested about 1100 yuan per mu in planting glutinous rice, and calculated at the sales price of 800jin and 1.25yuan per mu, the output value per mu was 1000 yuan, excluding his own manual input and the loss of agricultural machinery. Xu Pingdao told reporters that even if the price of glutinous rice rises, local farmers' income per mu will be reduced by 30%, and their planting income will also drop by more than 500 yuan per mu.

The short-term market is booming

"as the demand side in the lower reaches of this year is generally expected to reduce the supply of glutinous rice in Anhui producing areas, businesses have come to the producing areas ahead of time to hoard goods." Xu Pingdao believes that under this market expectation, the early purchase price of glutinous rice will rise quickly, but it may not last long. With the end of purchasing on the demand side, the price of glutinous rice may fall slightly, and it is expected that it will be difficult for the price of glutinous rice to rise before the Spring Festival.

Xiang Keshuo, head of the rice industry in Nangang, Shucheng County, analyzed that market participants were generally optimistic about the glutinous rice market this year, and a large number of social funds entered the field of glutinous rice acquisition one after another, leading to the continuous heating up of the glutinous rice market. At present, the acquisition peak is nearing its end, and it is estimated that the glutinous rice market will remain relatively stable and there will be no major fluctuations before the end of the year.