Analysis of chicken seedling price market: the seedling price is low and the farmers avoid the risk of seedling investment.

Last week (November 14-November 20), the stock of broilers in South China is relatively large, and consumption is difficult to improve. Broiler prices continue to fluctuate at low levels, and farmers' confidence in filling fences is still insufficient, which is a drag on seedling prices. The disease risk of falling temperature increases, most farmers empty columns or reduce the stock column to reduce the risk of operation and epidemic situation; at this stage, the overall trend of seedling prices is weak. In southwest China, as the Chicken Market in Sichuan is coming to an end, the seedling investment of integrated breeding companies has gradually declined, and the enthusiasm of farmers to invest seedlings has deteriorated.

Last week, the price of chicken seedlings:

South China: three loess hens: 1.0-1.2 yuan per feather; soil-imitating hens: 1.2-1.4 yuan per feather; soil-imitating rooster seedlings: 0.5-0.7 yuan per feather; Lingshan native hens: 2.0-2.2 yuan per feather; black-bone chicken seedlings: 2.0-2.2 yuan per feather (slow 0.6-0.8 yuan per feather) Ephedra rooster seedling: 0.6-0.8 yuan / feather (slow big 0.4-0.5 yuan / feather), hen seedling: 0.6-0.8 yuan / feather.

Southwest region: fast big green hemp rooster seedling: 3.7 yuan / feather, yellow flower rooster seedling: 2.94 yuan / feather, fast big black mixed chicken seedling: 1.3 yuan / feather, fast big green mixed chicken seedling: 1.7 yuan / feather, high quality green rooster seedling: 8.0 yuan / feather, green foot hen seedling: 0.2 yuan / feather.

Mahuang chicken: the weather turns cold, farmers are worried about the occurrence of disease, the price of broiler is losing money, confidence is frustrated, it is expected that the price of ephedra chicken is low in the next stage, slow large ephedra male 0.3-0.5 yuan / feather, fast large ephedra male 0.6-0.8 yuan / feather, ephedra mother 0.6-8 yuan / feather.

Three loess hen seedlings: after the new year, the production of the branch is reduced, and the enthusiasm of the farmers is poor. It is expected that the price of three loess hens will fall steadily in the next stage: the price of mother seedlings is 1-1.2 yuan per feather.

Lingshan native hen seedlings: the number of seedlings in the society is not large, and the Hunan de-warm chicken market stops putting in the seedlings; it is mainly the local farmers who invest in the seedlings, and the enthusiasm is general. It is expected that the price of the Lingshan native mother seedlings will remain stable in the next stage, with the seedling price at 2.0-2.2 yuan per feather.

Imitation native chicken hen seedlings: the price of broiler chickens is not ideal, coupled with the follow-up market uncertainty, the enthusiasm of farmers to invest in seedlings is general, it is expected that the price of imitation native chicken mother seedlings will fall steadily in the next stage: the price of mother seedlings is 1.2-1.4 yuan per feather.

Imitating native rooster seedlings: Anhui and Shandong mainly put in seedlings, and the investment of farmers has slowed down, so it is expected that the seedling price of imitating soil cocks will fall steadily in the next stage: 0.5-0.7 yuan per feather.

Black-bone chicken seedlings: there are few seedlings in society, some farmers put in better seedlings, and the demand shrinks, so it is expected that the price of black-bone chickens will remain stable in the next stage: the price of black-bone chickens is 2-2.2 yuan per feather (0.6-0.8 yuan per feather for slow black chickens).

Fast big green hemp chicken seedling: affected by the inventory release of the integrated company, the adult chicken price on the market is at the stage low, the next stage is affected by the end of the chicken market, the seedling price will appear pullback. The current price is 3.7 yuan per feather.

High-quality green hemp chicken seedlings: this breed has strong profitability and is in short supply for a long time. The current price is about 8.0 yuan / feather.

Market forecast for the next stage:

South China: the market of chicken seedlings is in the off-season, the supply and demand is at a low level, the prices of major broilers are not ideal, and the enthusiasm of farmers to fill the fence is frustrated. Medium-speed breeds correspond to the northern year chicken, the enthusiasm of throwing seedlings weakens, and the price goes down. As the weather turns cold, the risk of disease and feeding costs increase, farmers are careful to invest in the seedlings, so the next stage of chicken seedlings run at a low price.

Southwest region: with the end of the Chicken Market in Sichuan, the price of broiler has entered a low level and gradually stabilized, the enthusiasm of social farmers to invest in seedlings has declined, and it is expected that the price of chicken seedlings will gradually decline in the next stage.