The high price of wheat bran in December 2016 may stop.

Monitoring shows that the current ex-factory price of wheat bran is about 1500 yuan / ton in Jinan, Shandong Province, 1560 yuan / ton in Zhengzhou, Henan Province, 1520 yuan / ton in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, 1560 yuan / ton in Xuzhou, Jiangsu Province, and 1560 yuan / ton in Suzhou, Anhui Province. all rose 600.80 yuan / ton compared to last week. The continuous release of wheat prices in the supporting market is running smoothly. This week, the bidding sales of the national temporary wheat reserves totaled 2.6093 million tons, with a turnover of 206200 tons, an increase of 16500 tons over last week; the transaction rate was 7.9 percent, up 0.72 percent from last week; and the average transaction price was 2506 yuan per ton. higher than last week's 2500 yuan / ton. Among them, Hebei put in 2015 white wheat turnover of 32300 tons, a transaction rate of 63.47%, down 16% from last week, the average price of 2536 yuan / ton; Shandong put in 2015 white wheat turnover of 14900 tons, a transaction rate of 14.52%, down 6.38% from last week, the average price of 2508 yuan / ton. When wheat was put on the market in November 2015, the market price of wheat has been in line with the incoming price of policy grain sources, and the auction transaction rate is significantly higher than that of previous months, increasing the supply of food sources in the market and weakening the bullish expectation of wheat market prices.

There is still some time before New Year's Day and the Spring Festival, flour mills have not yet begun large-scale stock, wheat demand is stable, under the combined effect of two factors, wheat market prices remained stable in November. Monitoring shows that at present, the entry price of new wheat flour enterprises with moisture less than 12.5% and unit weight more than 770g / liter in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province is about 2600 yuan / ton, Heze in Shandong Province is about 2580 yuan / ton, and Xinxiang in Henan Province is about 2560 yuan / ton. The entry price of new wheat with moisture within 13.5% and bulk weight above 770g / liter in Suzhou, Anhui Province is about 2520 yuan / ton, and that in Xuzhou, Jiangsu Province is about 2520 yuan / ton. Basically maintained a steady trend, some areas rose slightly compared with last week. It is expected that by December, the demand for wheat will gradually enter the peak season, the demand for wheat will continue to increase, and the turnover rate of wheat auction in the supporting market will continue to rise, but as the market price of wheat has been in line with the price of wheat in the supporting market, the price "ceiling" effect is obvious. it is unlikely that wheat prices will continue to rise and will continue to operate smoothly.

The expected monitoring of the small price difference between Youpu and strong wheat shows that the current entry price of "Gaoyou 2018" is about 2720 yuan / ton in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, 2660 yuan / ton in Heze, Shandong Province, and 2660 yuan / ton in Xinxiang, Henan Province. The price of Zhengmai 366 is about 2660 yuan / ton in Heze, Shandong and 2660 yuan / ton in Zhengzhou, Henan. The import price of "Jinan 17" in Heze, Shandong Province is 2680 yuan / ton, and that in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province is about 2640 yuan / ton, which is 400.60 yuan / ton higher in some areas than at the beginning of the month. Due to the high price of common wheat stabilized, much higher than the same period last year, the current Huanghuai region of North China. The average price of wheat is about 2562 yuan per ton, which is 190 yuan higher than that of the same period last year. Although the price of premium wheat has risen recently, the price spread of Uppu wheat is still at an all-time low. At present, the average price difference of Uppu wheat in producing areas is about 100 yuan / ton, which is about 180 yuan / ton lower than that of the same period last year. At present, the investment of wheat in the market has been increased, the price of ordinary wheat has basically reached its peak, and the rising space is limited, while the price of superior wheat may have a bright future. First, it is about to enter the peak season of flour consumption, the demand for special flour will increase, and the demand for strong gluten wheat will increase, which will have a certain pulling effect on the price of strong gluten wheat; flour mills are underemployed, wheat bran supply is limited, the current wheat price is high and stabilized, flour prices remain stable, and the pattern of "strong wheat flour and weak wheat flour" continues. Monitoring shows that the current ex-factory price of special flour in Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, Jinan, Shandong Province, Zhengzhou, Henan, Xuzhou, Jiangsu and Suzhou is about 3160 yuan / ton, 3180 yuan / ton, 3120 yuan / ton, 3100 yuan / ton and 3120 yuan / ton, respectively, which are basically the same as last week. Due to the stabilization of high wheat prices and the difficulties in purchasing raw grain, the operating rate of milling enterprises remains low, the start-up time of large and medium-sized enterprises is relatively stable, while the start-up time of small enterprises is significantly reduced, or even shut down. Monitoring by the National Grain and Oil Information Center shows that at present, the average operating rate of milling enterprises is 47%, which is at a low level. Powder enterprises are underemployed, wheat bran market supply is reduced, at the same time the weather is getting cooler, wheat bran preservation time is prolonged, flour enterprises in order to increase profits, strong willingness to raise prices, strong support for wheat bran prices. In addition, the price of corn in North China (1575, 31.00 and 2.01%) remained strong, giving a boost to the price of wheat bran.