Pig market analysis: the rising trend of pig prices is now, but there will be shocks.
Recently, pig prices have risen slightly and decreased slightly in some areas. In this rising trend before the Spring Festival, the northern market has played a pioneering role, greatly boosting farmers' bullish confidence in the future. However, in the next period of time, the southern pig market will replace, for example, to become the main force, and the rising price of pigs in the south will gradually strengthen in the future.
In the later stage, the potential for pig prices to continue to soar will be hindered, although the future demand will play a supporting role, but the supply will also be larger. The trend of supplementary growth in Northeast China is fierce, but the rising potential in the future is small, so farmers can choose to go out at the right time.
Recently, although pig prices continue to maintain a rising trend, but there is no lack of shock adjustment situation, rise and fall dilemma, supply and demand game is also neck and neck.
At present, the pig market is in a weak balance stage, so without the strong support of the demand side, pig prices will not have a large and sustained upward trend, which is a normal phenomenon. Therefore, the weather is not the main factor driving the rise and fall of pig prices, supply and demand is, and now the pig market is waiting for strong efforts to break the balance, so pig prices will definitely not fall sharply.
Subsequently, the weather stimulated a slight increase in consumption, farmers are bullish about the growth of confidence in the future, the mood of cherishing sales, the game between supply and demand, the pig market bullish atmosphere and the actual rising trend gradually formed.
Now the average price of live pigs in the north is close to 8.5 yuan, and the shock situation is frequent, it can be said that in the case of insufficient demand boost, it is difficult for pig prices to continue to rise only with the support of weather and hurdles. The next thing the southern market faces is the opening of bacon production, and the demand side will continue to make efforts, which will break the previous deadlock between supply and demand, and the upward trend is gradually obvious. Then it is expected to drive the national pig price, although the northern pig price is difficult to rise, but it will not fall, after the arrival of the pig market, the national general upward trend is expected to appear. At the same time, farmers must maintain a normal rhythm, do not concentrate on the risk of overstocking.
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