Duck market analysis: duck seedling price ushered in counterattack breeding fence still need to be cautious

Duck seedling price ushered in counterattack breeding fence still need to be cautious. According to perennial practice, farmers generally fill fenced duck seedlings in the Spring and Autumn season, because the temperature is suitable at that time, the breeding cost is low, therefore, the enthusiasm of farmers is also higher. However, it is unusual this year. Between the end of June and July this year, the price of duck fry across the country rose strongly, with the average price rising from 0.88 yuan to 3.30 yuan per feather, an increase of 275%.

And now in November, the duck seedling market does not belong to the rising period, but according to the reporter's understanding, since November, there has been a rise in duck seedlings in many places across the country. So, what is the reason for the rise in duck seedling prices this time? Should farmers actively supplement the column?

Wang Yongning of Shandong Weifang Legang Food Co., Ltd. told reporters that since the beginning of this year, some new varieties such as prairie ducks have appeared in the duck seedling market, but they do not have a large share in the market, so it does not have much impact on the overall market. As the number of duck fry has decreased in the past two years, on the whole, the market of duck fry is good this year and the price has changed significantly in the past year.

Wang Yongning: compared with last year, this year is better than last year, and the price is much better. Last year's cost line was below. The good reason for this year is that the number of duck fry has decreased, because after four consecutive years of losses, the overall price of duck fry has gone up after the overall number of duck fry has decreased.

Guo Dandan, an analyst at Zhuochuang Information, said that in the same period in 2015, duck seedlings were in a state of decline mainly due to the weather and poor delivery of products from slaughtering enterprises. In the first ten days of November this year, the price of northern duck seedlings stopped falling, and the price of northern duck seedlings rose from 2.30 yuan per feather to 3 yuan per feather, an increase of 30.43%.

Guo Dandan: recently, duck seedlings have fluctuated slightly. From November 4 to 10, Cherry Valley duck seedlings began to rise. The national average price rose from 2.65 yuan / feather to 3.18 yuan / feather, a cumulative increase of 20%. The average price of duck seedlings is 2.98 yuan / feather, up 20.16% compared with the same period.

On the 11th of this month, the duck seedling market rose to a high level. in Guo Dandan's eyes, there are two main reasons why the duck seedling price hit bottom and rebounded this time: first, the sunny weather promoted the enthusiasm of farmers to fill the fence; second, the sale of duck products was smooth, and product prices rose, but the supply of big ducks in the market was tight, the enthusiasm of the refrigerated factory to put in contracts was enhanced, and the supply and marketing were booming.

Guo Dandan: with the recent improvement in temperature, the enthusiasm of farmers for replenishing seedlings has increased; for refrigerated plants, the market for divided ducks has risen, the enthusiasm of dealers to put in contracts is higher, the market trading is normal, and the arrangement plan of the hatchery is smooth.

Judging from the price of duck seedlings and the impact of the producing areas, analyst Guo Dandan told the reporter: the producing areas are roughly divided into the north and the south, and the north is mainly Shandong, Jiangsu, Henan, and Anhui, with basically the same trend, while the southern region mainly involves Guangdong and Guangxi, and the price rises and falls are also basically the same, with the price difference generally within 2 Mao per jin. In addition, another reason for the recent rise in duck seedling prices is that Yinan County, Yinan County, Yimiao County, Shandong Province, has relaxed its environmental protection policy, weakened breeding restrictions, and increased the number of seedlings.

Guo Dandan: due to the reduction of environmental protection policy in Yinan area, the input of slaughtering enterprises has increased. A variety of positive factors support seedling prices to rise sharply.

Wang Yongning of Shandong Weifang Le Gang Food Co., Ltd. told reporters that duck seedlings often rise and fall in the blink of an eye, and it is mainly necessary to observe the difference between release and slaughtering. in his view, it has now risen to a high price of 3 yuan, and it should enter the decline channel in the later stage. From this year's point of view, it should be a downward trend before the end of the year.

Wang Yongning: November is a process of steady rise. I estimate that the price has reached its peak after three yuan, and it will definitely fall in the later stage. This breeding is not quite the same as production. The price of duck seedlings is falling, and the extent of the decline is to talk about the impact of the price in private.

However, due to the emergence of high prices suppressed demand, duck seedling prices continue to climb lack of power; coupled with November, the number of commercial seedlings will gradually increase, which is not conducive to the increase of duck seedling prices. Analyst Guo Dandan expects the price of duck seedlings to be adjusted steadily and narrowly in the later period. She suggested that farmers can replenish the seedlings in an appropriate amount during the period when the high price of duck seedlings is hovering.

Guo Dandan: the duck seedling market fluctuates frequently and within a small range. At present, the duck seedling market is running at a high level, and the order arrangement plan of the hatchery is gradually slowing down. Especially in Guangxi, affected by rainfall, the duck seedling market has declined. Therefore, Zhuochuang Information expects the duck seedling market to show a stable trend before falling in the near future.