What crops do you grow to make money in 2017? Price Analysis of Potato, Mung Bean, Peanut and silage Corn

Original title: price prospect and market risk hint of potato, mung bean, peanut and silage corn in 2017!

According to China Rural Voice, China adjusted the planting structure of corn in 2016, adjusting the area of non-dominant producing areas such as "sickle bend" of nearly 30 million mu, and will continue to reduce 10 million mu in 2017. No longer growing corn, many farmers plan to switch to potatoes, mung beans, silage rice, peanuts and other crops that seem to be a little better in the market, but they also want to know if they can make money growing these crops this year. What will happen to the market price?

The editor has collected and sorted out your doubts for your reference!

Potatoes

Price prospect

From the law of price operation, the highest price of potato market mostly appears in April-May every year. It is expected that the fluctuation of potato price in 2017 will still follow the law of perennial fluctuation, and the overall situation will be fluctuating.

Two stages

Specifically, it can be divided into two stages:

The first stage is from January to April 2017. in this stage, the market is mainly to digest 2016 potatoes in stock. New Year's Day, Spring Festival, Qingming Festival and other festive effects will support potato prices to continue to maintain a high level.

The second stage is from May to December, with precocious potatoes coming on the market one after another, the storers will accelerate the sale of goods in mid-late May and early June, the price may fall quickly, while a large number of potatoes will be on the market in the late autumn, and the market supply will increase greatly. the downward pressure on prices continues to increase.

Risk tips and suggestions

The risk of concentrated sale of potatoes in spring is prominent.

With the change of storage conditions of potatoes in spring next year, the possibility of centralized sales will increase, and prices may also fluctuate greatly.

It is suggested that we should pay close attention to the market trends, balanced listing and timely sale of potatoes, so as to prevent the recurrence of market fluctuations and unsalable difficulties caused by a large number of centralized listings.

The risk of imbalance between supply and demand of potato is increasing.

Since 2015, the state has vigorously promoted the staple food strategy of potato processing and promoted the development of potato production, while potato has still become the best choice for agricultural structural adjustment in the "sickle bend" area and accurate poverty alleviation strategy in the western region.

It is suggested that in the adjustment of agricultural structure, we should promote the rotation of grain and potato in an orderly manner, guide farmers to make a rational layout, and not blindly follow the trend of planting, which can not only promote soil fertility recovery and epidemic disease prevention and control, but also slow down market fluctuations.

Silage corn

Price prospect

Judging from the price in recent years, the price of silage corn basically changes little every year, so it is the price of cattle and sheep to decide whether to purchase silage corn feed in livestock farms, especially for beef cattle, if the price of beef is good, the use of silage corn will increase. However, with the growth of the planting area of silage corn, the possibility of a substantial reduction in the price of silage corn can not be ruled out in the later stage.

It is estimated that the average price of silage corn in 2017 is 245 yuan per ton, down 3.16 percent from 2016.

Risk tips and suggestions

Weather conditions

Since 2016, Qiqihar and other places in Heilongjiang have been affected by drought, the corn harvest is poor, and some farmers sell directly at low prices, driving down local silage corn prices to a certain extent.

Production and marketing need to be combined to avoid regional oversupply

At present, some beef cattle farmers have not used a large number of silage corn. If the regional supply is excessive, it will certainly lower the local market price and cause unnecessary losses to farmers.

The cultivation of silage corn still needs certain technology, and the planting technology of some farmers is limited, and the quality of silage corn is difficult to reach the standard.

Mung bean

Price prospect

It is expected that in the first and second quarter of 2017, the supply of high-quality domestic commodities such as mung beans and mung sprouts will be limited, and prices will be stable. However, after the new grain comes on the market, the price will fall slightly.