Continue to soar in December? There may be a pit these days.

Hello, everyone. Today is Wednesday, November 29th. According to Pig Yitong Ruiqi data, the average price of live pigs across the country today is 14.53 yuan / kg, up 0.06 yuan / kg compared with yesterday. At present, pig prices are still in a small upward trend. Pig prices in some low-cost areas have increased significantly, and it is expected that there will still be 0.2-0.3 yuan / kg increase this week. Here is a le to bring you today's detailed data:

From Table 1, we can see that 14 areas such as Guizhou (agricultural land, commercial and residential land, industrial land) and Chongqing (agricultural land, commercial and residential land, industrial land) have increased by 0.05-0.2 yuan / kg. The remaining 14 regions remained stable. At present, the highest price of live pigs is 15.3 yuan / kg in Chongqing, and the lowest price is 13.4 yuan / kg (agricultural land, commercial and residential land, industrial land). The highest price in the region is in the southwest and the lowest in the northwest. What is worth paying attention to is that the southwest and northeast regions have the potential to increase prices, and some provinces have reached an increase of more than 0.6 yuan / kg.

According to Pig Yitong Ruiqi data, the average price of live pigs rose 0.52 yuan / kg in November, of which 0.46 yuan / kg increase was achieved in late November. Combined with pig prices in various regions, this wave of rise contributed to the sharp rise in southwest and northeast China. For the current market, many pig friends have repeatedly changed their standards, and it is certain that the fiercest game in the second half of 2017 will be staged in December.

On the demand side, according to the sales situation of wholesale markets and merchant supermarkets, it has gradually increased since late November, especially at the end of the month. The Winter Solstice on December 22 this year, this is a turning point in the great increase in national consumption over the years, and this year should be no exception, so it is certain that the seasonal consumption season in December will come and will continue until the Spring Festival.

On the supply side, at present, farmers are in a strong mood of cherishing sales and waiting to rise, and the general psychology in the industry is "the last opportunity to make money this year", and those who are fattening for the second time have also begun to become active. what we can aim at in the near future is the time period of the Winter Solstice and New Year's Day, and it can be predicted that a concentrated hurdle will be staged at that time.

In summary, with the continuous competition between supply and demand, the rise of pig prices will be blocked and stabilized, and there is a downside risk in the future. Operational advice: do not wait for the so-called high price, in the first ten days of December, the middle of every high hurdle, avoid the Winter Solstice, New Year's Day node.