The pig market is uncertain and the pig market may not rise sharply before the festival.

Abstract: the impact of the pig embargo is not great, and the possibility of a decline in pig prices before the festival is relatively low.

In recent days, pig prices fluctuated again, and the original upward momentum came to an abrupt end, but at present, pig prices even show a downward trend. judging from the three yuan pig prices outside the country, the average price has reached 14.19 yuan per kilogram, falling again by 0.49% the day before yesterday. Although this range is not too large, if it continues to decline, it will greatly fall below 7 yuan per catty. At the same time, due to the influence of African classical swine fever, several major pig farming provinces have a pig embargo, so under such a situation, can pig prices go up in the future? Next, let's briefly talk about our own views on promoting agriculture through science.

Judging from the current situation, the price of live pigs is basically the highest in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai, in which the price in Zhejiang has reached a new high of 10 yuan per jin, while the northeast of China is still maintained at about 6 yuan per jin. The reason for this situation has a lot to do with the current pig embargo.

As the outbreak areas of classical swine fever are basically major breeding provinces in China, such as Henan, Northeast and Anhui, these areas provide more than half of the live pigs in the country. Now, due to the ban on foreign transshipment of pigs, to avoid the spread of classical swine fever. Although it has played an important role in controlling classical swine fever, from another point of view, the policy has also led to a decline in live pigs in areas where swine fever outbreaks are unable to transport. On the other hand, pig prices will rise sharply in other regions.

Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shanghai, as coastal industrial developed areas, the aquaculture industry itself is very weak, and now the situation is precisely caused by the embargo. For local aquaculture suppliers with weak consumption power, it is a different situation. There is a serious oversupply, which leads to a strange situation of declining pig prices even though the festival is at hand.

Science Xingnong believes that although the current pig price is unstable, it does not go so far as to say that it has fallen sharply, and now it is getting closer and closer to the festival. although the embargo has a great impact on the local supply side of the market, but on the whole, the pulling effect of festivals on pig market prices is still very obvious. What's more, for major pig provinces, the increase in pig prices is on the low side, although this year's pig market supply is larger, but the current callback room has been very small.

For the northeast region, which is maintained near the cost line, the space for adjustment is even narrower. In the following holiday peak, market procurement is today's peak season, Science Xingnong believes that at least before the National Day, there will not be a substantial decline.

Here is science to promote agriculture, welcome to add attention, with you to grow knowledge.