Forecast of breeding market of mutton sheep in 2019
The sheep industry has not been bullish since 2016. The industry is in the doldrums, and the market is not slowly going downhill. This decline has occurred in both rural and urban areas, which makes a large number of mutton sheep farmers give up raising sheep and turn their attention to other breeding industries. Now only some farmers insist. This year, the sheep industry depends on some large farms and some enterprises to provide supply and export of sheep. After looking at the trend from the first half of 2018 to the present, the following editor will tell you about the sheep breeding market in 2019.
Profit situation of raising mutton sheep in 2019
1. The market of mutton sheep has been going downhill in recent years, and has been in the doldrums for three years. The profits of many farmers can no longer be guaranteed and basically fluctuate above and below the cost line. Therefore, in the past two years, it is very difficult for mutton sheep farmers to make money, and it is very good to be able to maintain their capital. The number of mutton sheep farmers is good, such as some large-scale farmers are basically at a loss. Moreover, with fewer and fewer acquirers, it is difficult to find acquirers to ship, which makes many people sell cheaply and then be forced to give up farming.
2. According to the current situation, it mainly depends on whether there is room for recovery in the second half of this year, what is the trend in the second half of this year, and if the market gradually recovers in the second half of the year, the acquirers will certainly increase. Some buyers will take advantage of the rising prices during this period to make a large number of acquisitions, and the rate of production should rise until the end of the year and the beginning of the next spring. In addition, it depends on farmers' control over the breeding cost of mutton sheep. The selling prices of mutton sheep in each region are different, so we can only control what we can control and try our best to keep the cost to a minimum. The price of mutton on the market this year will not increase too much, basically at the level of last year, and there should be a period of recovery in the first half of next year.
3. For example, some individual farmers in rural areas or some small farms, the pressure on their breeding costs will become greater and greater, and if there is no profit, some will lead to a lack of cash flow. In addition, with the expansion of the scale, the output of feed costs and labor costs will be increased, and the profits of raising sheep will be even less. For some large farms, they will insist on raising sheep scientifically and keep the cost of feed to a minimum at the same time. Control the output of the total cost and create the highest profit while the capital flows steadily.
II. Analysis of the Market Prospect of Mutton Sheep in 2019
At present, half a year has passed, and the second half of the year is coming soon. The demand for mutton sheep will certainly have a pick-up stage, and its price will be higher at the end of the year.
1. At present, the stock of mutton sheep in most domestic farms is not much, because sheep raising is in a state of loss from a few years ago, so basically many sheep farmers have given up this industry, resulting in a sharp reduction in inventory and supply. Prices have rebounded.
2. In the past two years, the supplier of forage grass is in short supply, which makes the price of forage grass rise, and the price of mutton sheep will naturally rise.
Third, the cost and profit of raising a single sheep
1. According to the survey, the price of live sheep in the market is 7.6-8.4 yuan per kilogram, and 7.6 yuan per kilogram is about 380 yuan per kilogram.
2. The daily cost of a mutton sheep is about 0.6 yuan: more than a kilogram of hay every day, and one kilogram is about 0.25 yuan of grass money. A lot of ingredients need to be put in the preparation process, a total of 0.35 yuan. A sheep's daily feed is 0.25 yuan 0.35 yuan 0.6 yuan.
3. The profit of a mutton sheep is 308 yuan (excluding cost).
4. The annual profit of an ewe is 1548 yuan, which is the total profit after taking into account the cost of feed concentrate and epidemic prevention.
IV. Local price trends in the year before last
The above is the forecast of the breeding market of mutton sheep in 2019, the market and breeding situation of mutton sheep in the past few years is like this, it does not look very smooth, and there are losses, such as some small farmers have withdrawn, we should consider good breeding, if this article is helpful to you, please pay more attention to this website, pro-agricultural network will continue to provide you with the latest, best and most complete agricultural technical support!
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