There is little hope that the yield of new corn will continue to rise in the face of double decline this year.

For this year's corn yield science Xingnong wants to use the following word to express "double decline", that is to say, not only the per unit yield of corn has declined this year, but also the total yield this year. It is only a month and a half before the new corn harvest, and it is almost impossible for corn production to rise in this situation.

It can be said that there have been three twists and turns in corn this year. Before corn has been planted in April, the vast areas of Northeast China have received instructions from the Ministry of Agriculture and villages to comprehensively expand the planting of soybeans, and the demand for corn is relatively strong according to the notice of China's grain supply-side structural reform. The expansion area of soybean can only be increased by reducing the part of corn. As a result, the planting area of corn has declined, and the total production is naturally not guaranteed.

After sowing, the maize seedling stage then encountered a large area of dry weather, the emergence rate was low, the maize growth was uneven, the population structure was unreasonable, the photosynthetic efficiency was low, and the early maize plants that broke the soil first grew stronger. however, the growth of corn unearthed in the later stage is weak, and the photosynthetic efficiency can not be efficiently utilized by the leaves of corn which are broken first. At that time, some institutions had expected a strong reduction in corn production this year, and even at that time it stimulated the rise in corn prices at that time.

Now there is a large area of drought in most parts of the country again, the pollen viability decreases, the pollination rate is low, the protruding rate of corn is high and the seed setting rate is low, which once again increases the possibility of yield reduction.

Judging from the above points, the probability of reducing corn production this year is almost 100%.

This year may be some unfavorable years, before there was a reduction in wheat production, garlic plummeted, and now corn production has been reduced! For farmers, what can be expected in the future is that food prices can rise.

For corn grain prices this autumn, Science and Technology also said that there is a high probability that the price will increase, not only because the cost of planting agricultural materials has increased, but for the broad masses of farmers, agricultural planting income can be said to be the whole source of household income, and the only hope is that food prices will rise.

According to media estimates, China's corn grain gap this year will be as high as 20 million tons, coupled with this year's corn production reduction is expected to be so strong, corn prices will be even more dynamic this year.

However, the greater uncertainty still comes from the grain storage. so far, 62 million tons of corn has been auctioned, and there are still 20 million tons of corn that have not yet come out of the storeroom. These corn are facing competition with the new corn in the market, which has a great impact on the market.

In fact, a big factor in whether corn prices can rise in the future comes from grain stocks. in March, everyone should know that prices have been high until mid-March, but a series of auctions have pushed corn prices into the abyss. Directly failed to break the original high price again.

In any case, with the reduction of corn production almost certain this year, we can only hope that the grain reserves can rest and recuperate, free up a certain market space for new corn, and add a layer of insurance for the income of corn farmers this year.

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