The garlic market is at a low ebb this year and the market situation next year is still not optimistic.

The garlic market in 2019 is likely to be better than this year, but it is not realistic to expect a sharp rise in garlic prices next year to return to your ruthless state in previous years. This year's garlic market oversupply has become a foregone conclusion, coupled with the improvement of cold storage technology in recent years. Garlic reserves this year to next year may not be difficult, even if the planting area of garlic is reduced this year, it will still have a big impact on garlic next year. Although the probability of price rise is high, the ability to make money is still weak.

The price of garlic will be high next year.

The price of garlic has entered a ten-year trough this year. Judging from the trend of garlic in recent years, the price of garlic reached a new high twice in 20092010and 2015-2016. and after setting a high price, the price also entered a hovering and then entered a trough. It took two years to rebound after the trough of 07-08 and two years after the trough of 11-12. Therefore, from the historical trend, the price will rebound next year, but not to the point of a strong rebound.

Due to the widespread losses of garlic farmers this year, the garlic planting area of garlic farmers will certainly be reduced next year, and the situation of serious oversupply in the market this year will also be greatly improved, at least better than this year, so it is inevitable that the price of garlic next year is better than this year.

The price increase is limited, and the ability to make money is still weak.

Although the garlic price is expected to improve strongly next year, the ability to make money is still weak. Due to the serious oversupply of garlic last year and this year, it may be difficult to fundamentally change the supply and demand pattern of the garlic market next year. It can be expected that the supply and demand balance or the supply and demand pattern is slightly tight.

Thanks to the improvement of cold storage technology, at the time of this year's garlic harvest, the market is still selling last year's old garlic, which has a great impact on this year's garlic market, directly leading to a sustained decline in garlic prices at the time of this year's harvest. And I am afraid this situation will continue to happen next year, that is to say, next year garlic will face the impact of this year's garlic market.

Careful seed expansion

Based on the above analysis, the suggestion of scientific development of agriculture is to carefully expand planting. For cash crops such as garlic, the market fluctuation is indeed much greater than that of grain, and the so-called wealth is derived from risks. Many farmers have such a mentality to bet on the market situation next year. Today, when the current garlic market mechanism is not mature enough, I hope everyone can look at the problem rationally and avoid following the trend.

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