Although wheat has stabilized recently, it is expected to continue to rise in the later stage. Farmers with grain reserves can wait.
Presumably everyone knows that wheat prices rose all the way in June. It is now in mid-July, and although the increase in wheat prices is not as large as that of last month, it is also running smoothly. And in terms of this year's wheat market situation, Science Xingnong believes that wheat prices will not show a downward trend in the second half of this year, and there will even be a small increase in October.
Current situation of wheat market
The price of wheat has been on an upward trend from the beginning of the sickle to the end of the wheat harvest in June, and it has risen by a large margin. By the end of June, the increase in wheat prices began to slow down, and wheat prices began to stabilize. However, the price of third-class wheat in most areas remains above 1.15 yuan per jin.
This is also reasonable for the recent stabilization of wheat prices.
As for the reasons for the increase in wheat prices this year, everyone is very clear. Because of the weather this year, wheat in most wheat-producing areas this year has been affected not only in terms of wheat yield, but also in wheat quality. Therefore, there is not only a shortage of new wheat in the market, but also a shortage of high-quality new wheat, which is the main reason why wheat prices have been rising all the way this year.
And because farmers generally cherish selling after wheat harvest, the new wheat in the wheat market is relatively tight, and the price naturally goes up.
However, the recent trend of wheat prices has gradually slowed down, and from the wheat market prices in the past two weeks, the situation is not very good, but I think this is only short-term, in the long run, wheat prices are likely to continue to rise.
Part of the reason why wheat prices have remained stable during this period is a decline in the mentality of grain buyers to gamble in the market. Because it is an indisputable fact that grain production has been reduced this year, and some grain buyers have seen this, they have been harvesting grain at high prices since the beginning of the wheat harvest, resulting in a rapid rise in grain prices. However, the trend of grain looting has gradually cooled down until late June. Some grain merchants have finished stocking grain, and their enthusiasm for grain storage has declined, and their awareness of risk has increased. This is also a major reason why wheat prices are gradually moving smoothly during this period.
In addition, the national grain reserves and wheat reserves are sufficient. On June 18, the State Grain Reserve announced the suspension of auctions, which is also a major factor in the rise in wheat prices. Although the auction is currently suspended. But once the auction can be expected, it will have a big impact on wheat prices.
At present, it is just in the season of continuous high temperature, the sales of flour enterprises are relatively cold, and the demand for wheat is not strong enough, which is also a factor affecting the price of wheat in the near future.
Although wheat has been running relatively smoothly recently, wheat prices will rise in the later period. There is still plenty of momentum for wheat to rise. Therefore, if you still have wheat in your home during this period of time, Scientific Agriculture suggests that it is best to continue to stock grain and wait for a period of time to sell it.
After all, around October, the weather is getting cooler, the demand from flour companies is increasing, and the wheat gap does exist this year. So the current price is definitely not the end point, it can be expected to continue to rise, although there will not be much increase, but it will certainly be better than the current price.
The above comes from promoting agriculture through science.
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