The broiler market in 2009 and its future trend are described.

The main factors affecting the broiler breeding industry; in 2009, the broiler breeding industry was mainly affected by the world economic crisis and Newcastle disease and avian influenza mixed disease. The impact of the economic crisis. The economic crisis first affects employment, then purchasing power. The internal and external sales of chicken have declined, the purchase price of hairy chicken has dropped, the enthusiasm of farmers in raising chickens has been frustrated, and the price of broiler seedlings has declined. A little longer time led to a decrease in the number of breeder chickens. Effect of mixed infection of Newcastle disease and avian influenza. It is this factor that has the greatest influence on the chicken industry in China. But it is a double-edged sword, which has both destructive and stimulating effects. When the disease is prevalent, those with a lower level of management will lose money and be eliminated; those with a higher level of feeding will make a lot of money; in this way, it will dominate the transformation of the low and best parts of the industry. 1. Broiler feeding; the recovery price of hairy chicken decreased due to the decrease of chicken consumption, reaching 7.00 yuan / Kg at the end of 2008. Raising chickens actively and seriously damaged, coupled with the infection of disease, the success rate of raising chickens has been greatly reduced, so most chicken farmers stop raising. This led to the emergence of broiler seedlings with a minimum of 0.20 yuan per chicken. Poultry accounts for 1% of the total meat, and chicken accounts for a large proportion. With the daily consumption of meat, inventory decreased, the purchase price of hairy chicken rebounded; moreover, raising chicken is an important way for farmers to generate income; therefore, the number of broilers should be gradually increased from the beginning of the year to May. 2. Parents raise breeder chickens; due to the decrease of broiler production, the price of broiler seedlings is lower than the cost; disease infection leads to a great decline in productivity, forcing laying hens to be eliminated in large numbers, and the stock of laying hens is reduced. At most, it will be reduced by 1 pound or 2 (after that, the price of broiler seedlings may be high). As breeder farmers make more money from 2006 to 2007, they can afford to buy breeder fry and have the adventurous spirit to pin their hopes on making money in the second half of the year and the first half of 2010. Therefore, in the first half of 2009, the proportion of brooding and mature chickens was large and the proportion of laying hens was small; this is also the reason why the parents' breeding fry experienced a short period of 10 yuan per set, which quickly rebounded to 13 yuan per set of 12muri, and all of them were sold in advance. 3. In the third quarter of 2009, July is the off-season of consumption, so broiler prices remain low, while students start school in August and the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day in September are approaching, which increases the demand for broilers and results in a situation in which demand exceeds supply. With the increasing demand for broilers and the gradual disappearance of the financial crisis, coupled with the continued rise in pork and feed prices, broiler prices began to pick up in August and September 2009. Broiler farming began to enter the profit stage. First, the situation of broilers in the third quarter of 2009 Broiler prices: in the third quarter of 2009, the average purchase price of broilers in the province was 8.3 yuan / kg, down 4% from the same period last year and up 4% month-on-month. Among them, the price remained at about 8 yuan / kg in July, and the purchase price of broilers began to rise in early August. the average price of the whole province reached 8.4 yuan / kg in August and 8.5 yuan / kg in September. Chicken price: in the third quarter of 2009, the average price of broiler chicks in the province was 1.94 yuan per chicken, down 11% from the same period last year and up 17% month-on-month. Among them, the price remained low in July, only 1.37 yuan per chicken, and the price of broilers began to rise from the beginning of August to about 2.4 yuan at the end of August and the beginning of September, and then the price dropped slightly. Ingredients price: broiler ingredients are still running at a high level in the third quarter of 2009, with an average price of 2.36 yuan / kg in the province, down 6% from the same period last year and up 4% month-on-month. Benefits of broilers: the purchase price of broilers has rebounded slightly since August 2009 and has reached 8.5 yuan / kg in September. Broilers maintain a high price, broiler production is in a profitable state, each broiler can make a profit of 3mur4 yuan. Third, the fourth quarter of 2009 broiler production and marketing situation forecast under normal circumstances, the fourth quarter is the off-season of broiler consumption. However, due to the impact of drought this year, the rise in the price of corn and other raw materials, resulting in the operation of high feed prices, the cost of broiler breeding has increased. At the same time, the high price of pork, and chicken as the main substitute for pork will have a good market with the high price of pork. In addition, with the gradual departure of the economic crisis, the consumption of broilers will gradually improve. Therefore, it is expected that broiler prices in the fourth quarter of 2009 will maintain the good trend of the third quarter, during which there may be a small shock. Fourth, it is suggested that autumn is a difficult season for raising broiler chickens. After the weather becomes cool, chicken disease enters the high incidence season. In line with the principle of "prevention is more important than Hao", farmers should focus on doing a good job in immunization through the control of immune procedures, vaccine selection, immune operation, immune personnel and other links, so as to achieve an immunization rate of 100%, accuracy rate of 100%, and effective rate of 100%, so as to ensure the health of the flock, so as to achieve greater economic benefits.