How many soybeans will our country import this year? The import of soybeans will be 6 times that of domestic soybeans.

After all, 2018 has just passed 1/3, and at this time we can only estimate the amount of soybeans imported this year. It coincides with the May supply and demand report released by the USDA on Thursday, in which China's soybean imports in 2018 and 19 are estimated at 103 million tons. I believe this is a relatively authoritative prediction. It should be pointed out that this is not the first time that the United States has made a relevant forecast. In April last year, it also made a forecast of 97 million tons of soybean imports in 2017. However, the actual import volume of China last year was 95.53 million tons, which is slightly deviated from the forecast.

On the whole, the estimation of China's soybean imports by the United States is relatively accurate. According to the figures of the United States, China's soybean imports increased by only more than 5 million tons in 2018, while China's imports increased by 11 million tons in 2017. That is to say, the estimate of the United States is still relatively conservative. Recently, China's soybean imports have increased by more than 6 million tons a year.

Judging from the current external environmental factors, Sino-US relations have also affected China's soybean imports this year. As we all know, China is preparing to impose tariffs on US domestic agricultural products this year, resulting in a sharp decline in US soybean exports. According to the latest import information, the amount of US soybean exports to China has decreased by 19%, a great drop.

No matter whether the figures of the United States can predict the cost, a situation that we have to face is that our country is extremely short of soybeans and has formed a serious dependence on imported soybeans. Judging from the situation of China's soybeans in 2017, there are more than 13 million tons of self-produced soybeans and 95.53 million tons of imported soybeans. It can be said that it has endangered the soybean food security of our country.

In this regard, we also have a clear understanding, especially in the face of the impact of Sino-US relations this year, it has prompted the State Council to urge the Northeast and the whole country to increase the soybean planting area, and even many counties and cities have allocated the soybean planting area increase quota. According to the latest estimate of the Ministry of Agriculture and villages today, the soybean area is expected to increase by 8.1% this year, and the output will increase by 12.4% to 14.45 million tons.

Finally, the situation of domestic soybeans may really be reversed this year. Under the circumstances that domestic farmers have responded positively to the call and government policies have substantially increased subsidies, there has been definite news that this year's domestic soybean planting subsidies per mu is not less than 200 yuan per mu, and soybean prices have gradually come out of the trough this year, and planting efficiency is getting higher and higher. Perhaps the spring of domestic soybeans is not far away.

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