There are four positive factors in compound fertilizer market in autumn.

With the start of wheat fertilizer preparation, the operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises has increased, especially in Shandong, Henan, Hebei, Anhui and other wheat growing areas, the overall operating rate of compound fertilizer enterprises has risen to about 50%. At present, the autumn fertilizer prices of most enterprises have not yet been released, and the previous factory quotations are basically maintained. The ex-factory quotations of 45% (15 ∶ 15 ∶ 15) chlorine-based compound fertilizers are mostly 1750-1900 yuan / ton, and 45% (15 ∶ 15 ∶ 15) sulfur-based compound fertilizers are mostly 2150-2350 yuan / ton.

On the whole, there are four positive factors in the compound fertilizer market this autumn, which are cautiously optimistic.

First, the price of chemical fertilizer this year is low, and compared with last year, the price generally dropped by more than 300 yuan per ton, the lowest in recent years, reducing farmers' planting costs and helping to arouse farmers' enthusiasm for using fertilizer.

Second, winter wheat accounts for the majority of autumn fertilizer, and wheat prices have risen this year, which is good news for autumn fertilizer. It was learned from the Hebei Grain Bureau that since the purchase of summer grain in late June, both the volume and price of wheat market have gone high. According to monitoring, the average purchase price of wheat in the province was 1.23 yuan per jin at the end of June. At present, the highest purchase price is 1.25 yuan / jin in Langfang and Tangshan, 1.24 yuan / jin in Shijiazhuang and Baoding, 1.23 yuan / jin in Xingtai, and 1.22 yuan / jin in Cangzhou, Hengshui and Handan. The purchase price of wheat market in all parts of Hebei Province is higher than the national minimum purchase price (1.18 yuan / jin), so that the national purchase policy does not need to be started.

Third, the inventory is not large. Due to the continuous decline in fertilizer prices since last year, dealers generally do not dare to stock chemical fertilizer, resulting in empty social inventory, which lays the foundation for the launch of the market in the future.

Fourth, the price support of raw materials. Recently, the international sulfur price has risen steadily, and the export of ammonium phosphate is better, which has promoted the slight rise of monoammonium phosphate. At present, 55% of powdered monoammonium is quoted at 1800 million 1950 yuan / ton, 55% granule is quoted at 1900 million 2050 yuan / ton, 58% powdered monoammonium is about 1950 million 2050 yuan / ton, which is about 50,100 yuan / ton higher than the previous low point. The rise in the price of monoammonium phosphate supports the price of high-phosphorus compound fertilizer for wheat.

At present, some enterprises are already deploying the autumn fertilizer market, such as Jiangxi Liukuo Chemical Co., Ltd., and the deployment of fertilizer reserves for the autumn market in North China this year is a week earlier than in previous years. In early July, Jiangxi Liukuo Chemical Co., Ltd. issued the autumn marketing strategy in North China, and the enthusiasm of dealers to pick up goods increased significantly.