The deviation of corn prices at home and abroad forces the adjustment of impending storage policy.
Today, the domestic corn market has obviously appeared the pattern of "three highs", that is, the highest output, the highest inventory, the highest price market, and the serious deviation between the domestic corn price and the international corn price.
Liu Hanyuan, chairman of Tongwei Group, said at the Seventh China International Corn Industry Conference yesterday that the biggest challenge faced by feed and breeding enterprises under the new situation lies in the policy direction of the government, and the biggest risk also lies in the direction of policy.
In 2008, corn prices at home and abroad fell sharply. In order to protect the interests of farmers, the government implemented a temporary collection and storage policy in the corn market. "although this is a temporary policy, it has been implemented for a long time today." Liu Hanyuan said: today, the domestic corn market has obviously shown a "three high" pattern, that is, the highest output, the highest inventory, and the highest price market, and there is a serious deviation between domestic corn prices and international corn prices.
At a time of "three highs" in the corn market, how to get rid of the excess corn?
"it is obvious that it cannot be sold in the international market." He said that in 2000, China sold some corn on the international market, with a subsidy of 300 million yuan per ton, and some even subsidized 600 yuan. With the current quality and price of domestic corn, half of the subsidies cannot be sold.
On the other hand, he also mentioned that internal digestion faces the highest raw material prices, the highest labor costs and relatively low production efficiency.
It is also understood that the current export of corn starch in China has basically stopped, and there are not many opportunities for the export of alcohol because the production cost is too high.
Liu Hanyuan believes that the rising input costs of the feed and aquaculture industry, the loss of competitiveness of products in the international market, and the serious deviation in domestic and foreign corn market prices are forcing the adjustment of temporary collection and storage policies. Although the government has been using a variety of technical barriers to restrict corn imports, but with the accumulation of time, the final policy adjustment of domestic corn and its downstream industries will suffer great losses, and will be very destructive. Feed and aquaculture enterprises will face great risks and challenges. In view of the development of feed and aquaculture enterprises, Liu Hanyuan believes that if enterprises want to operate stably, they must change their development mode and management concept. At present, the feed and aquaculture industry has excess capacity. When the market is good, the overall capacity utilization rate is less than 60%. When the market is bad, the utilization rate of capacity is less than 50%. In this situation, enterprises should clearly understand the characteristics of the situation and the turning period of the market, and think rationally, not simply to expand production capacity, but to find differential advantages and grasp an appropriate or even slow pace of development.
"if enterprises want to develop, they must do a good job of upgrading and upgrading. While increasing the rationality of investment, enterprises should grasp the needs of the times of rising quality, and establish their own advantages in service, product quality and brand building. " Liu Hanyuan thinks.
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