Grain imports will not increase sharply. The food threat theory does not exist.

Bi Meijia, chief economist and spokesman for the Ministry of Agriculture, recently pointed out in response to the "China grain threat theory" that at present, the imports of rice, wheat and corn account for only 2.4% of domestic output, which is relatively low. In the future, it may be necessary to import some varieties that are in short supply at home, but grain imports will not increase significantly, so the "China grain threat theory" does not exist.

The State Information Office held a press conference a few days ago to introduce the situation of grain production in China this year. Bi Meijia, chief economist and spokesman of the Ministry of Agriculture, and Zeng Yande, director of the planting Management Department of the Ministry of Agriculture, answered reporters' questions.

Bi Meijia stressed that it is unreliable and unrealistic to rely on the international market to solve the problem of feeding the Chinese people. First, the world's grain trade volume is limited. It is understood that at present, the annual global grain trade volume ranges from 500 billion jin to 600 billion jin, which accounts for less than half of China's grain demand, and the rice trade volume is about 70 billion jin, which is only equivalent to 1 kilogram of China's rice consumption.

In recent years, China's grain imports have increased, but the total amount is not very large, mainly because the price of grain in the international market is lower than that in China, and at the same time, in order to meet the diversified domestic consumption needs of China, this also needs to be adjusted with some excellent varieties. At present, the imports of rice, wheat and corn account for only 2.4% of domestic output, which is still relatively low. In the future, China may have to import some varieties that are in short supply at home, but grain imports will not increase significantly, so the "China grain threat theory" does not exist. China will not buy too much grain in the international market, because China's strategy is to ensure basic self-sufficiency.

In addition, taking into account the employment and income of Chinese farmers. China has 260 million farmers, most of whom are small farmers, different from large farms in Europe and the United States. Even if the level of urbanization is high in the future, some farmers will go to the cities, and a considerable proportion of farmers will still rely on agriculture for a living, so there is a balance between imported grain and the increase of farmers' income. this is precisely the meaning of "moderate import" emphasized in the 20 words of China's national food security strategy.

Bi Meijia said that China has the confidence and ability to solve the problem of feeding 1.3 billion people. China uses less than 10% of the world's arable land and produces 1% of the world's grain. At present, the global grain output is about 2.4 billion tons, and China produces 600 million tons, which feeds the world's population of 1x5. In the future, China will continue to consolidate the agricultural foundation and firmly consolidate the three pillars of grain production-- policy support, science and technology support, infrastructure support, especially to ensure the red line of arable land. In this way, China's food security has a solid foundation.