How do growers respond to the continuous decline in sorghum prices in 2014?

Since the beginning of 2014, the price of sorghum has continued to decline because of last year's high price. As of December 9, the purchase price of new sorghum grain remained at 1.00 yuan per jin, down 11% from September, while the shipping price of old grain and net grain fell by as much as 22%.

How do growers respond to the continuous decline in sorghum prices in 2014?

Sorghum is a miscellaneous grain variety, which can be eaten and brewed. Because of its wide range of uses, it has been favored by growers. Last year, the price of sorghum rose all the way, allowing growers to get higher returns. Some growers have expanded their acreage this year, hoping to sell them at a good price. However, recently, many sorghum growers have reported to reporters that although the sorghum harvest is generally good this year, they wait and wait until the sorghum is stored, and they do not wait for the purchasers, and the market purchase price has also dropped sharply. Why the price of sorghum this year is completely different from that of previous years? How should growers reduce their losses and adjust their planting strategies?

At present, the TV series "Red Sorghum" has just become a hit on the screen, according to "three Rural China". But failed to boost the price of sorghum, which has been depressed so far this year. Mr. Xu, a grower in Yingcheng, Hubei Province, revealed to reporters that Yingcheng had planted more than 3000 mu of sorghum this year. Due to the rising market at the beginning of the year and the buyer's promise to "harvest as much as he planted," he also planted nearly 3000 mu of sorghum. Today, sorghum has long been harvested and stored, but it just so happens that the market has plummeted, and the acquirers have mysteriously "disappeared". Mr. Xu said: "it has been harvested a long time ago. It has been kept for two or three months, but it cannot be sold, including our side in Hubei Province. There are many!" There's nothing we can do about it. We're in a hurry to sell the sorghum, and now there's nothing we can do about it! "

In fact, the situation in Yingcheng, Hubei Province is not alone. Not only farmers like Xu who have just tried to grow sorghum have suffered a dismal market this year, but even some old farmers who have grown sorghum for many years have also suffered a "Waterloo". Jia Xinming, a grower in Chifeng, Inner Mongolia, has been growing sorghum for many years. He had hoped that this year would continue the good market of last year, but now this wish has been in vain. He said the market changed so suddenly that it was too late to react and adjust the planting strategy. Jia Xinming said: due to the drought this year, the output has not gone up. The purchase price this year is more than 90 cents, compared with 1.2 yuan in the same period last year. There are too many imported sorghum!

It is understood that last year, the price of sorghum rose by leaps and bounds due to the reduction of planting area, the decline of output and other factors. In Beijing alone, the wholesale price of sorghum has increased by more than 60% a year. However, since 2014, the sorghum market has continued to decline. As of December 9, the purchase price of new sorghum grain remained at 1.00 yuan per jin, down 11% from September, while the shipping price of old grain and net grain fell by as much as 22%. Why did the price of sorghum fall so sharply? In this regard, Zhuochuang consulting sorghum analyst Zhang Chao believes that it is mainly subjected to the "double attack" of international and domestic factors. Zhang Chao said: "first, China's liquor industry is affected by the three public consumption restrictions and restaurant inspections. The liquor industry falls into a deep winter, liquor inventory is difficult to consume, and sorghum rigid demand is obviously insufficient, which makes it difficult to find a market for sorghum in China. Second, affected by the impact of the imported sorghum market, the current shipping prices of American sorghum and domestic sorghum are maintained at about 2160 yuan / ton. However, some large wineries downstream purchase more sorghum imports from the United States. "

Figures show that U. S. sorghum imports are likely to reach an all-time high this year. The increase in domestic sorghum production, coupled with the continuous influx of imported sorghum, has aggravated the market situation in which supply exceeds demand. Zhang Chao predicts that for some time in the future, China's sorghum market is still not optimistic: Zhang Chao believes that the above negative pressure has a certain pressure on domestic sorghum prices, and farmers in producing areas have low prices at present, and prices may be weak and stable in the short term, and it may be possible to further lower sorghum prices in the later period of continuous market light operation.

At the same time, Zhang Chao reminded farmers that miscellaneous grain crops such as sorghum are different from ordinary grain crops and are not regulated by state policies, and there are no quota restrictions on imports, and in the case of relatively low costs, foreign sorghum will naturally flow into the domestic market. Therefore, farmers must keep a close eye on the market when planting. Zhang Chao said: "I think farmers should keep a rational mind in miscellaneous grain planting, and should not blindly follow the trend to choose species or fail, otherwise it is the farmers themselves who will eventually suffer the bitter fruit." Therefore, Zhuo Chuang suggests that it is better for farmers to choose contract planting, and they all have a comprehensive understanding of the late market trend and rational judgment, in order to avoid the risk of hoarding. "