The per capita net income of farmers will reach about 11000 this year.

On the 22nd, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences held a press conference on the 2015 "Rural Green Paper" and a seminar on the analysis and prediction of China's rural economic situation. Du Zhixiong, deputy director of the Institute of Rural Development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said at the meeting that farmers' income can still maintain a relatively rapid growth in 2015, and it is predicted that the per capita net income of farmers will reach about 11000 yuan.

Referring to the forecast of the main indicators for the operation of the agricultural and rural economy in 2015, du Zhixiong said that grain continues to grow, but the growth rate continues to narrow, and the total grain output in 2015 is forecast to be 610 million tons, an increase of about 0.5 per cent. Oil crops have increased slightly, sugar crops have decreased to a certain extent, and cotton may have a larger reduction. Oil production is expected to be 35.6 million tons, an increase of about 1 per cent. Sugar production was about 130 million tons, down about 3 percent, and cotton output was about 5.8 million tons, down about 6 percent. Animal products and aquatic products continue to maintain the growth trend, and the total meat output in 2015 is forecast to be about 89 million tons, an increase of about 2.2 percent, of which pork production is about 57 million tons, an increase of 0.5 percent. It is estimated that the output of aquatic products in 2015 is about 67 million tons, an increase of about 4%.

He pointed out that the producer prices of agricultural products continued to decline on the basis of a slight decline in 2014, and it is predicted that the overall prices of agricultural products will decline by about 3% in 2015, of which the prices of raw food products will fall by about 1% and the prices of fishery products will rise by about 2%. Food consumer prices will decline slightly compared with the same period last year, and it is predicted that food consumer prices will fall by about 2% in 2015, of which grain consumer prices will drop by about 1%, postage consumer prices by about 5%, and consumer prices of meat and poultry and their products by about 3%. The consumer price of vegetables fell by about 4%, while the consumer price of aquatic products showed the opposite trend, rising by 2% overall. The scale of imports of agricultural products continued to expand, and the scale of imports and exports of agricultural products continued to expand in 2015. The spread on international trade in agricultural products may be reduced to less than 50 billion US dollars.

Du Zhixiong believes that farmers' per capita net income continues to maintain moderate growth, and farmers' income is expected to maintain a relatively rapid growth in 2015. It is predicted that farmers' per capita net income will reach about 11000 yuan. According to the new caliber statistics, the ratio of per capita disposable income to farmers' per capita income has further reduced to 2.9 per capita income. The real growth rate of the added value of the primary industry is the same as that in 2018, and its proportion in GDP may drop to less than 9%. The added value of the primary industry is expected to be about 6 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 4%.