It is inevitable to grow wheat and look at "turning around".
"the purpose of the temporary storage price of wheat next year is to give us big grain growers a 'reassurance', but we also have to weigh the prospects of the future market." Although 400 mu of land has been sown with conventional varieties of wheat as in previous years, Cao Hengyin, a major grain grower in Luobai Village, Shuangdun Town, Changfeng County, Anhui Province, is still very "entangled": if he does not grow grain, the transfer fee will be signed and will have to be paid to farmers; if he continues to grow grain, he is afraid of losing more. "I want to change to other cash crops, but I don't know what to do in the future."
Cao Hengyin is not the only one "tangled" in the autumn and winter season. For the big grain growers in Anhui, they have encountered an unprecedented "double test" this year: during the summer harvest, imperfect wheat grains in 21 key counties along the Huaihe River generally exceeded the standard, and Anhui started temporary collection and storage for the first time to solve the "difficulty of selling grain." corn prices have hit rock bottom again. In the face of the decline in the efficiency of growing grain, should we continue to grow grain? If you plant less grain, what can you grow? Many big grain growers have spent a lot of time thinking this autumn.
"Land is expensive and grain is cheap", and the benefits of growing grain are "angry" at both ends.
"this year, the price of summer harvest wheat is low, while the price of autumn harvest corn is not high. The comparative benefit of growing grain is getting lower and lower. " Zhang Qifeng, a big grain grower in Lunan Village, Shuangjian Town, Mengcheng County, said, "the risk is increasing, and if we lack some management experience, we will not be able to grow grain." The price of land transfer is getting higher and higher, the wages of agricultural materials, fertilizers and personnel are also rising, while food prices are falling.
"at that time, when the transfer fee was signed, the rent per mu of land was set according to the price of grain. Now that the price of grain has fallen, the rent should be paid according to the price of grain, but the farmers do not agree. " Wang Qiong, the planting owner of Chengguan Town, Sixian County, told reporters angrily.
"the grain market this year has a certain impact on the enthusiasm of growing grain, but at present it is impossible to judge how big the impact is." A person from the Anhui Provincial planting Bureau said that the reality of farmers' high yield and poor harvest will certainly dampen their enthusiasm for planting in the coming year.
Growing grain should not be "single-minded". It depends on the market and structure adjustment.
Although it is good news that the temporary storage price of wheat in 2016 is the same as that of this year, many big grain growers are still thinking about the way out.
Liu Chuansheng, a big grain grower in Qilitang Village, Dingyuan County, transferred 1500 mu of land to grow grain. "if we grow grain this year, the income per mu of land will be at least 400 yuan less than in previous years." Liu Chuansheng said that looking at the situation of growing grain in the past two or three years, he has decided to set aside part of the land for seed production. He has talked about cooperation with a seed company and must take the road of improved seed breeding.
"Land transfer may reshuffle in this round of economic transformation." Chen Zhigang, a distributor of agricultural materials in Feidong County, told reporters that from the point of view of the large grain growers he served, some large farmers already had the intention to withdraw from planting, but some people wanted to step in.
"in the future, large grain growers must calculate their detailed accounts, and perhaps more importantly, they will have practical and management experience." Han Yi, vice president of the Agricultural Development Bank of Anhui Province, said that with the acceleration of land transfer, land will be concentrated in the hands of "professional farmers." The main body of agricultural management can tend to be rational and mature only after the washing and experience of the market economy.
"the situation this year has further forced us to put the transformation of the mode of agricultural production on the agenda." Xu Muxiang, one of the country's top 10 farmers and a major grain grower in Fuyang, sighed that only by changing the traditional way of growing grain blindly and making efforts to grow "science and technology grain" and "order grain" with scientific concepts and market-oriented thinking, can agricultural risks be reduced to the maximum.
It is worth paying attention to that the agricultural department of Anhui Province has begun to do the related work of adjusting the structure and changing the mode. This year, for the first time, we will carry out a pilot project on the mode of increasing potato production in the rice areas along the Yangtze River, explore new ways to adjust the regional agricultural structure, and at the same time promote the green mode of increasing grain production.
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Investment in "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" aggregates "positive effect"
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The National Wholesale Price Index of Agricultural products on November 9, 2015 is higher than that of last week.
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