What are the prospects of raising pigs in 2020? These five pros and cons should be considered! Pig farmers suggest collecting!

Influenced by African swine fever in 2019, the stock of live pigs in China decreased and the price rose all the way. For pig farmers, this is a ups and downs of the year, some lost money, some earn a pot full bowl. And what about pig farming prospects in the brand new year 2020? These 5 advantages and disadvantages should be considered well, pig farmers recommend collection!

I. Three disadvantages of pig breeding prospects in 2020

1. Corn prices rise

Recently, with the continuous start of corn acquisition by deep processing enterprises in various places, corn prices have risen to varying degrees. For example, Shandong Yingxuan has risen twice in a row, totaling 70 yuan/ton, Shandong Fuyang has risen 20 yuan/ton, and Cargill Biochemical has risen 30 yuan/ton. From the current state, enterprises that start construction will also increase corn prices one after another.

In addition, with the recovery of pig production capacity and the continuous increase of corn demand, the price of corn in the later period is expected to continue to rise, while corn accounts for more than 70% of pig feed. With the rise of corn price, the cost of pig breeding will increase, which will affect the profit of pig breeding to a certain extent.

2. Pig production capacity recovery

With the recovery of production capacity, the number of pigs available for sale will gradually increase, and the price of pigs will fall accordingly. For pig farmers, once the price of pigs falls, the profit of pig farming will shrink.

3. Non-epidemic prevention and control should be paid attention to

According to the experience of foreign countries in preventing and controlling African swine fever, it is difficult to completely eliminate African swine fever in a short time, that is to say, there is still potential risk before African swine fever vaccine is developed or African swine fever virus is completely purified from China.

II. Two good prospects for pig farming in 2020

1. Policies encourage pig farming

Since the second half of 2019, China's pork prices have soared, rising rapidly by more than 30 yuan. This not only made many people lament that they could not afford pork at all, but also made relevant departments take various measures to stabilize and curb the rapid rise in pork prices. One of the most important things is to encourage the development of large-scale breeding industry, support farmers to raise pigs, and actively expand the scale of pig breeding.

The policy mainly includes the management of pig breeding land according to agricultural land, and there is no need for construction land approval. Moreover, many areas have stipulated that pig breeding land can be used for general farmland, and the upper limit of 15 mu of land has been cancelled. In addition, certain regulations have been made on the land use for production facilities such as pig breeding, in-plant passages and green isolation belts, which provides a basis for ensuring the demand for facility land for waste treatment of pig breeding production.

2. Lower the loan discount threshold

In order to speed up the resumption of pig production, the scope of subsidy for farm households 'loan interest has been adjusted from more than 5000 pigs per year to more than 500 pigs. With this lowering of the threshold, more small and medium-sized farmers will benefit.

Pig breeding industry does have quite high profits at this stage, but there are also certain breeding risks. Pig farmers must act cautiously when raising pigs to ensure that the benefits are maximized under the condition of minimum risk. It is difficult to find projects in rural areas. Do you know what projects to do to make money? All aspects of rural life are inseparable from land, and of course we have to do something with land. At present, Tuliu Group is recruiting land circulation service providers nationwide to set up land circulation service centers. (For details, please click the link: https://xiangmu.tuliu.com/)