Rapeseed price "diving" Farmers look forward to policies to save the market

Anhui rapeseed purchase market is deserted

The policy is uncertain and the peasant household enterprises are still waiting and seeing.

The annual rapeseed acquisition has begun. However, the rapeseed purchase market in Anhui is full of variables, and many production and business entities are holding a wait-and-see attitude.

Market-oriented "sudden", farmers and oil enterprises feel the pressure

"the market situation this year is disadvantageous to rape growers, and the traditional main body of acquisition has basically not started to buy." According to the analysis of Tian Li, a major grain grower in Wangjiang County, the reasons come from many aspects: first, the state may stop collecting and storing, relying solely on market regulation, and enterprises dare not accept it; second, the sales price has dropped, the price of rapeseed oil has dropped from 670 yuan / jin last year to less than 5 yuan / jin, and the leached meal has dropped from 1.3 yuan / jin last year to 70 cents. Third, the cake meal, which is mainly used as fish feed, is gradually replaced by bran meal and wheat feed because it is easy to pollute the water; fourth, transfer gene rapeseed into the market, consumers gradually transfer oil varieties; fifth, a large number of national reserve oil flow auction, can not be transferred out, some reserve oil has been sold for three years, can only be used as industrial oil.

"this round of change should be a return to price. The main body of the acquisition used to be the State Reserve + oil enterprises walking on two legs, but now there is only one leg left. " Zhang Hao, an enterprise owner engaged in oil processing in Wangjiang County, said that in recent years, oil enterprises have poor efficiency and do not have the ability to resist risks, and the sudden return of the market has put great pressure on farmers and enterprises. At present, the price of rapeseed in the market has dropped from 2.5 yuan / jin last year to 1.62-1.9 yuan / jin.

"We have also noticed that there has been no movement in the rapeseed market this year." Li Donghong, director of the Agricultural Technology extension Center of Shitai County, said that 30,000 mu of rape in the county has been harvested, but many growers report that it is "difficult to sell." The enthusiasm of oil vendors for door-to-door purchases in previous years has ceased to exist, and this year many growers have not sold rapeseed.

"I have planted 200 mu of rape this year, and rapeseed can produce 300 jin of rapeseed per mu. Now the purchase price is less than 2.5 yuan per jin, the market situation is not ideal, there is no sale for the time being. " Liu Man, a family farmer in Shitai County, said that this year's market purchase price is lower than last year's purchase and storage price, coupled with rising labor costs, rape planting profits are getting lower and lower. If the temporary storage can be started, the later acquisition price may go up.

"now we don't make much money growing rape. In the past, we all planted more than a dozen mu of land, but now we eat as many kinds as we eat, and most of the people who grow rape are big grain growers. However, the market situation this year is not very good, which may affect the planting enthusiasm in the coming year. " Zhang Siqing, owner of an enterprise engaged in rapeseed oil processing in Shitai County, said that there is almost no profit in processing, less production and less loss, so he would rather not start work.

"our factory hasn't started the acquisition yet. Let's wait and see." Wei limin, owner of Dawei rapeseed processing plant in Baohe District, Hefei, said that rapeseed processing enterprises have closed their doors in recent years, and their plant is still barely viable. However, as the planting area of local rapeseed is getting smaller and smaller, they all buy rapeseed from other places. Although the number of rapeseed on the market has decreased year by year in recent years, there is a lot of room for citizens to use oil, and the rapeseed market has been lukewarm, which makes it difficult to increase the purchase price of new rapeseed.

Lack of clear market expectation, the future price is not optimistic.

"We have done special research and found that as long as the purchase of rapeseed exceeds 1.8 yuan / jin, the processing enterprises will lose money." Shi Shaoning, director of the Agricultural Development Bank of Anhui Province, said that due to the delay in starting the temporary storage policy this year, the market listing price of processing enterprises is now 1.5 yuan to 1.6 yuan per jin, and farmers are unwilling to sell for prices less than 1.6 yuan per jin. It is not clear whether the relevant departments will start the rapeseed temporary storage policy, but the credit work of the Agricultural Development Bank on market-oriented acquisition enterprises has been carried out as usual, and five enterprise loans have been put in place.

According to the information at the 2015 National Summer Grain and Oil acquisition work Conference, the rapeseed purchase policy has been initially clarified this season, and the central government provides subsidies for the purchase of rapeseed in Anhui, Jiangsu, Henan, Hubei and Hunan provinces. the specific purchase price and whether to purchase and store rapeseed oil shall be determined by the provincial government. At present, it is mainly to solicit opinions, requiring the above five provinces to subsidize the insufficient funds for acquisition with provincial financial risk funds. According to the analysis of relevant people, the purchase price of rapeseed is determined by the provinces themselves, and it is no longer uniformly priced by stored grain, and it is expected that the final purchase price will be significantly lower than the 2.55 yuan / jin in the previous two years. Even with government subsidies, the purchase price is likely to be less than 2.1 yuan / jin.

"in recent years, the state has continuously implemented temporary collection and storage of rapeseed, and the rapeseed oil produced since 2010 has basically been transferred to inventory, basically not out of storage, and the domestic tank capacity is seriously insufficient; the price inversion between domestic rapeseed and imported rapeseed is becoming more and more intense. the market price mechanism has been distorted. At the beginning of this year, we were also summoned to attend a forum by relevant parties of the state, and relevant experts predicted that the country might abolish the temporary storage and acquisition policy of rapeseed (oil) this year. " Han Yi, vice president of Anhui Agricultural Development Bank, said that it is still a question mark whether the rapeseed temporary storage policy, which has been implemented for many years, will be cancelled this year, and it is hoped that the relevant departments will clarify the policy as soon as possible, so that financial departments, agricultural producers, processing enterprises, and other parties can do a good job in dealing with it.

Hubei rapeseed price "diving"

The market calls for a "soft landing" for policy adjustment

At the beginning of June, the harvest of rapeseed in Hubei was basically over, and it was the day when oil processing enterprises bought a large number of oil processing enterprises in previous years, but the reporter found that the opening price of rapeseed "dived" and the listing price of rapeseed was about 1.6 yuan per jin, which was nearly 1 yuan lower than the national temporary storage price of 2.55 yuan per jin last year. Farmers do not want to sell, enterprises do not dare to collect, planting income has been seriously affected, eager for the government to introduce policies to rescue the market.

Cherish sales and wait-and-see to become the mainstream of the market

It is understood that in 2015, Hubei summer harvest rape production continued a good yield trend, with a total area of 18.77 million mu, and the province's total rape production is expected to remain the first in the country for 20 years in a row.

"recently, there have been a lot of phone calls, and farmers all over the country have reflected the problem of rapeseed sales, putting grass-roots agricultural departments in the most awkward position. If no one wants to plant it, how to call on farmers to plant it in the future." Over the past few days, Duan Zhihong, deputy director of the rapeseed Office and extension researcher of the Hubei Provincial Department of Agriculture, is as anxious as rapeseed farmers: "the consumption of self-use oil in non-major producing areas is relatively high, and the price is still strong. In areas with high rapeseed commodity rates, farmers use less oil for their own use and have to sell, resulting in greater acquisition pressure, and farmers are more sensitive to price changes. "

"excluding their own labor, farmers' income is equal to their input only when the output reaches 300 jin / mu and the price is higher than 2.4 yuan / jin." Duan Zhihong told the reporter that a large grain grower in Huanggang calculated a cost account, including land transfer, machine farming, and agricultural materials, with a total cost of 700 yuan per mu. "that is, there is no transfer of land, less use of agricultural machinery, and no labor, and the input per mu is also about 400 to 500 yuan. If we lose money, the phenomenon of farmers abandoning or replanting will gradually become prominent. "

Zhu Ancheng, a 15-group farmer in Liuji Village, Wuli Town, Shayang County, planted 8 mu of rapeseed. Last year, rapeseed sold for 2.35 yuan per jin. "this year, we expect the price to be at least 2 yuan per jin, and we will not sell it below this price," he said.

"by this time last year, the factory had already collected hundreds of tons of rapeseed, but now it has received only about 10 tons, mainly for regular customers to exchange oil for their own use." On June 2, Chen Degang, deputy general manager of Songzi Hang Seng Oil Company, said: "Enterprises must want to do business when they open the door, but now the situation is not clear. Several large oil factories in surrounding counties and cities are waiting for state policy and dare not make any moves."

According to the 36% oil production rate, 60% meal production rate, 200 yuan / ton processing cost and the current rapeseed oil market price of 6300 yuan / ton, the rapeseed capital preservation purchase price that oil processing enterprises can generally afford this year is 1.65 yuan / jin. According to a survey of leading rapeseed processing enterprises conducted by the rapeseed Office of Hubei Province, at present, the operating rate of crushing enterprises is less than 30%.