The trend of layout adjustment of rice, corn and soybean in 2017

Grain crops should stabilize the production of rice and wheat, ensure the absolute safety of rations, and focus on the development of high-quality rice and strong and weak gluten wheat. The distribution of rice, corn and soybean will be adjusted in 2017.

1. Wheat and rice

First of all, planting planning: food crops should stabilize the production of rice and wheat, ensure the absolute safety of rations, and focus on the development of high-quality rice and strong and weak gluten wheat.

The direction of price reform of agricultural products: adhere to and improve the minimum purchase price policy for rice and wheat, reasonably adjust the minimum purchase price level, and form a reasonable price comparison relationship.

This means that the choice of growing rice and wheat this year is still supported by the lowest purchase price, which can be rest assured, but there will be great uncertainty in the rice policy this year.

Document No. 1 mentioned that it is very important to reasonably adjust the minimum purchase price level and form a reasonable price comparison relationship. The minimum purchase price for wheat in 2017 has been announced, with the third-class wheat at 1.18 yuan per jin, keeping the 2016 level unchanged. This means that the purchase price of rice may be fine-tuned this year.

The state proposes to continue to implement and improve the minimum purchase price policy for rice during the 13th five-year Plan period, and reasonably adjust the minimum purchase price level on the premise of continuing to implement the minimum purchase price policy. The minimum purchase price of early indica rice in 2016 has been adjusted. The lowest purchase price of third-class early indica rice in the national standard is 2660 yuan / ton, down 40 yuan / ton from the previous year, or 1.48%.

The Central Economic work Conference held not long ago has clearly set the tone that China will continue to implement the minimum purchase price policy for rice in 2017, but it is necessary to enhance policy flexibility and change the rigid expectation of only rising but not falling. At the same time, it is understood that since the second half of 2016, relevant state departments and relevant experts have repeatedly investigated the cost-benefit situation of japonica rice and studied the space for lowering the purchase price of japonica rice in the market, so as to avoid the phenomenon of changing corn to planting japonica rice on a large scale.

2. Corn

First of all, planting planning: continue to reduce non-dominant areas of grain corn.

The direction of price reform of agricultural products: firmly promote the reform of corn market pricing and the separation of price and compensation, improve the producer subsidy system, encourage diversified market entities to enter the market and purchase, and prevent difficulties in selling grain. We will take comprehensive measures to promote conversion through belly and processing, expand consumer demand through multiple channels, and speed up the digestion of corn and other stocks.

With regard to corn planting, document No. 1 has only one sentence, but the guidance is clear, to sum up: minus!

Han Jun, deputy director of the Office of the Central Rural work leading Group, said that in 2017, promoting the reform of the corn collection and storage system will still be an uphill battle. According to the plan of the Ministry of Agriculture, the planting area of corn will be reduced by 30 million mu in 2016 and another 10 million mu in 2017. Why is it necessary to reduce the planting scale of corn so much?

In the past 12 years, the planting area of corn in China has increased by 210 million mu. In terms of supply and demand, there is an imbalance between supply and demand. Taking 2015 as an example, China's corn output reached a record 225 million tons, and the domestic corn consumption that year was only about 175 million tons. The relationship between domestic supply and demand has changed from insufficient production to production exceeding demand, and the pattern of phased oversupply has intensified, the head of the Ministry of Agriculture said. This year, the adjustment of agricultural structure is still a main line of agricultural and rural work.

With regard to the direction of corn price change, we will persist in promoting and improving corn producer subsidies, but will introduce positive policies to prevent difficulties in selling grain. In addition, the adoption of comprehensive measures to digest corn stocks also means that there will be specific policies for deep processing this year. Please take a seat on the policy dividend for deep processing.

Han Jun, deputy director of the Office of the Central Rural work leading Group: if all grain was collected by the government in the past, and now the abolition of temporary collection and storage is the main body of a diversified market to enter the market, it may be difficult to sell grain in some areas, but we must make efforts to reduce the risk of reform. We should encourage, the most important thing is that grain production should not decline, the momentum of farmers' income should not be reversed. Rural society should continue to maintain stability and harmony, and these three bottom lines must be maintained.

3. Soybean

First of all, planting planning: increase high-quality edible soybeans, potatoes, miscellaneous grains and beans, etc.

Price reform direction of agricultural products: adjust the target price policy of soybeans.

Improve the agricultural subsidy system. We will further improve the orientation and accuracy of agricultural subsidy policies, focusing on major producing areas, moderate scale operation, farmers' income, and green ecology.

With regard to soybean cultivation, it can be summed up in one word: increase. The China Agricultural Outlook report (2016-2025) points out that in the next 10 years, the corn storage policy is expected to be gradually adjusted, the soybean target price subsidy policy in northeast China will be further improved, and the subsidy for "grain and bean rotation" is expected to be tried out. the role of guiding the reasonable recovery of soybean acreage will be gradually brought into full play, coupled with the steady development of domestic soybean deep processing industry will further increase soybean demand. It is expected that China's soybean acreage will resume growth. Driven by the optimization of field management and the development of breeding science and technology, the per unit yield of soybean will be increased. The increase of area and yield per unit area will promote the steady increase of soybean yield.

With regard to the direction of soybean price reform, the target price subsidy policy will still be implemented, but it will further improve the orientation and accuracy of agricultural subsidy policy.