Seed situation bulletin: the supply of wheat and rape seeds is adequate and the quality is better

At present, the winter wheat and winter rape seed market has entered the sales peak. According to the monitoring and supply and demand scheduling of the seed market by our center, the supply of wheat and rape seeds in autumn and winter this year is sufficient, and the quality is generally good. The price of winter wheat seeds is flat year-on-year, and the price of winter rape seeds decreases slightly.

1. Winter wheat

Seed supply. This year, the harvest area of winter wheat seeds in China is 12.1 million mu, and the seed yield is about 5 billion kg. It is estimated that the demand for commercial wheat seeds for autumn and winter this year will stabilize at 3.3 - 3.5 billion kg, with seed supply exceeding demand. Shandong, Henan, Jiangsu and other areas of winter wheat seed harvest, good quality. Anhui and Hubei provinces suffered a 10% reduction in crop yield and some seeds sprouted during harvest. It is expected that the number of seeds transferred from Henan and Shandong this year will increase compared with previous years.

Market prices. According to 320 varieties and 691 valid samples from 13 provinces such as Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Gansu and Hebei, the average price of winter wheat seeds is 4.31 yuan/kg. Affected by seed supply and demand and price, the retail price of seed market in main winter wheat producing provinces varies. Among them, Henan, Shandong and Hebei Province decreased by 3%-5% year-on-year, Anhui and Gansu Province increased by about 5% year-on-year, Sichuan Province increased by 9.94%, Shanxi Province decreased by 11.71% year-on-year, and seed prices in Jiangsu Province were stable. From the variety point of view, the market price of new approved varieties is relatively high, with an average retail price of 5.33 yuan/kg. The retail price of Jimai 22 seed, the dominant variety in production, dropped slightly to 4.26 yuan/kg, and the average price of Zhoumai 22 seed, the dominant variety in exclusive management, stabilized at 5.74 yuan/kg.

II. Winter rape

Seed supply. This year, the harvest area of hybrid rape seed production nationwide is 125,000 mu, and the seed yield is 9.6 million kg. In addition, the effective stock is 1.8 million kg, so the total seed supply is 11.4 million kg. 5.55 million kg of new seeds harvested from conventional rape. Affected by the sharp drop in rapeseed purchase price, the sales volume of rapeseed seed market decreased significantly this year, and the planting area of winter rapeseed is expected to show a downward trend. At present, the total amount of hybrid and conventional rapeseed seed supply is 16.95 million kg, which can meet the demand for commercial seed of 14 million kg even if the planting area of winter rapeseed is stable.

Seed prices. According to 318 varieties and 724 valid samples of rape seeds from 11 provinces such as Hubei, Hunan, Sichuan, Jiangxi, Anhui, Guizhou, Yunnan and Jiangsu, the average price of hybrid rape seeds was 109.5 yuan/kg, down 3.55% year-on-year; the average price of conventional rape seeds was 19.31 yuan/kg, down 5.21% year-on-year. The seed prices of hybrid rape in Hubei, Hunan and Sichuan provinces decreased by 8%-10%. The average retail price of hybrid rape seeds in Guizhou Province was 141.54 yuan/kg, and the average price in Jiangxi Province was 87.63 yuan/kg. From the variety point of view, the average retail price of new approved varieties seed market is 135.26 yuan/kg. Qinyou 10 and Huayouza 9, the dominant varieties in production, were stable at 126.44 yuan/kg and 132.51 yuan/kg respectively. The retail price of Fengyou 737, the dominant variety in exclusive management, remained high at 166.67 yuan/kg. (Contribution from Seed Information and Technology Division)