MySheen

Rapeseed income greatly reduced how to sow in autumn

Published: 2024-11-06 Author: mysheen
Last Updated: 2024/11/06, The price this year is lower than that of last year. If you grow one mu of rapeseed, you can't make any money. I don't want to plant it next year. Recently, the reporter received reports from many farmers in Jianyang City that this year the rapeseed market price was not high, the market was low, the planting efficiency was not as good as in previous years, and the planting enthusiasm was damaged.

"the price this year is lower than that of last year. If you grow one mu of rapeseed, you can't make any money. I don't want to plant it next year." Recently, the reporter received reports from many farmers in Jianyang City that this year's rapeseed market price is not high, the market is low, the planting efficiency is not as good as in previous years, and the enthusiasm for planting is impaired. I hope to know whether the country has the latest collection and storage policy.

Rapeseed has had a bumper harvest for more than two months, why has it been frequently reported recently that the price is not high and the market is depressed? In this regard, how will the national collection and reserve policy be implemented this year? With doubt, the reporter launched an investigation.

The policy turns to rapeseed acquisition and gradually becomes market-oriented

"the rapeseed collection and storage policy in Jianyang City was launched on August 6, but this year's policy is different from previous years, mainly manifested in a change in the executive body, a reduction in acquisition prices and a limited number of acquisitions." On August 19, Zhou Xingsheng, deputy director of the Jianyang Municipal Development and Reform Bureau, told reporters that this year, the main body of rapeseed acquisition has changed from the state to the local government, and the purchase price has also dropped from 2.55 yuan / jin last year to 2.3 yuan / jin.

The reporter learned from the Provincial Grain Bureau that the 2015 rapeseed acquisition policy in Sichuan Province was introduced in early August. Unlike in previous years, the China Grain Storage Company was responsible for purchasing rapeseed. This year, local governments will be responsible for implementing appropriate subsidies for rapeseed and encouraging local oil processing enterprises to actively acquire rapeseed. This year, the total purchase volume of the province is expected to be 500000 tons, accounting for about 22% of the output of 2.3 million tons, with a government subsidy of 250 million yuan. At present, all the acquisition targets have been allocated to the local side and issued to rapeseed crushing enterprises.

"the task of Jianyang City in this round of policy acquisitions is 36000 tons. As of August 6, the acquisition task has been completed of more than 1,000 tons." Zhou Xingsheng told the reporter that this year, enterprises with rapeseed listing purchase prices of 2.3 yuan / jin or more (the third-class quality standard of the national standard, and the price difference between adjacent grades is 0.02 yuan / jin) will be given an one-time quota subsidy to the purchasing enterprises according to 0.25 yuan / jin. The rapeseed collected will be processed and sold by the enterprises themselves and shall be responsible for their own profits and losses. The acquisition time is from August 1, 2015 to September 30, 2015. A few days ago, three oil companies in Jianyang City, including the Mianfeng Oil Press Factory, are in charge of government-guided price acquisitions.

Zhou Xingsheng believes that compared with previous years, the biggest change in policy this year is the state's liberalization of the rapeseed market, starting the purchase of rapeseed by subsidizing oil enterprises, and setting a limit on the total amount of purchases, so that one side liberalizes the market of rapeseed and gives full play to the role of the market in the allocation of agricultural resources. On the other hand, by directly subsidizing enterprises, it promotes the development of local oil enterprises and lays a market foundation for rapeseed to support the market.

Excess capacity rapeseed prices encounter rising "ceiling"

In the past five years, the collection and storage prices of rapeseed in Sichuan Province are 1.85 yuan per jin, 1.95 yuan, 2.3 yuan, 2.5 yuan and 2.55 yuan respectively, showing a rising trend year after year, but falling this year.

"the purchase price of rapeseed is low, and it is difficult to find out the benefits of planting. Farmers have such feelings that it is a microcosm of the current downturn in the oil market." Zhou Xingsheng told reporters that during the rapeseed harvest in early June, the purchase price in Jianyang market was 2.35 yuan / jin, and then slowly dropped to 2.1 yuan / jin. On August 6, after the implementation of the new policy, the rapeseed purchase price on the market was pulled up.

"on the one hand, in recent years, the state has continuously implemented temporary collection and storage of rapeseed, but rapeseed oil has not been released from the warehouse in time, and the current tank capacity is seriously insufficient; on the other hand, the price of domestic rapeseed oil and imported rapeseed oil is increasingly pegged upside down, and the market price mechanism is distorted." Wang Yukui, head of Jianyang Mianfeng squeezing Oil Factory, told reporters that at present, the wholesale of bulk rapeseed oil on the market is 8000 yuan / ton, compared with the previous 10,000 yuan / ton, the decline is too big, the interests of oil enterprises are reduced, and the overcapacity of the entire industry. Coupled with the impact of the foreign market, led to the current oil market downward, rapeseed purchase price, also encountered the "ceiling."

In previous years, Mianfeng Oil Press Factory has undertaken the task of national policy rapeseed acquisition and rapeseed oil processing and storage. "up to now, our company still has some policy rapeseed oil out of the warehouse." Wang Yukui told reporters frankly that the 2.3 yuan / jin specified by the government is close to the current "ceiling" of rapeseed prices, and once this round of policy acquisitions is over, rapeseed prices may fall.

In order to protect the income of farmers, in recent years, the collection and storage prices set by the state are much higher than those in the international market, and a large amount of inventory has been overstocked. At the same time, the price of foreign rapeseed oil is getting cheaper and cheaper, and a large number of rapeseed oil is flowing into China. At present, the country's regulation and control of the domestic rapeseed market is in a dilemma: if we only rely on the temporary storage measures of domestic rapeseed to protect farmers' enthusiasm for planting, its price will be much higher than that of imported rapeseed, so it does not have any advantage in the market competition. " Li Guoxiang, a researcher at the Macroeconomic Office of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, also believed in an interview with the media that China's rapeseed market is suffering from a downward crisis.

How will you plant it next year? Comply with the law of the market and take the road of scale

"the purchase price is not high, and the market is not good. Apart from eating at home, the remaining rapeseed cannot be sold at a good price. Will it be planted or not next year?" On August 24, Zhuang Wanxun, a farmer in Pingwu Town, Jianyang City, expressed his confusion to the reporter. His family had 3 mu of land, all of which was used to grow rape in previous years. He thought that if the market remained depressed, it would be better not to grow.

"Agriculture still needs to be carried out on a large scale in order to make a profit. Retail investors operate with low efficiency and high costs, so they cannot make money at all." Ye Zhixiang, a big grain grower in Ganquan Village, Baitou Town, Chongzhou City, told reporters that no matter it is rapeseed or other cash crops, it should take the road of scale and industrialization, so as to effectively counter market risks. Ye Zhixiang planted 900 mu of rapeseed last year and had a bumper harvest at the end of May this year. At that time, the purchase price of the oil press was 2.7 yuan / jin. Even so, he happened to maintain his capital. In June, the purchase price of local rapeseed began to decline, the lowest to 2.1 yuan / jin. "I barely break even when I carry out large-scale operations, not to mention those retail investors. I must have lost a lot of money." Ye Zhixiang told reporters that next year he will learn a lesson and use excellent varieties and fertilizers to increase rapeseed production, reduce planting costs, and bring back this year's defeat.

"Sichuan is a major province in rape production in China, with an area of about 14% of the country, ranking third in the country, and the total output accounts for about 16% of the total domestic output, ranking second in the country, but most of the rapeseed in our province are small and scattered, which is in urgent need of transformation and upgrading." An expert from the Department of Grain and Oil crops of the Provincial Agricultural Department told this reporter that on August 19, the General Office of the State Council issued the "opinions on speeding up the Transformation of the Mode of Agricultural Development," which put forward that it is necessary to develop various forms of scale operation, promote the transformation and upgrading of traditional agriculture, and to counter market risks, grain and oil crops in Sichuan Province, including rapeseed, can only take the road of scale in order to have greater market competitiveness.

"the summary of the reply to recommendation No. 1480 of the third session of the 12th National people's Congress published by the Ministry of Agriculture on July 10 this year proposes that China will liberalize the prices of major agricultural products and will continue to adhere to the minimum purchase price for rice and wheat rations. For rapeseed and other varieties, we should pay attention to giving play to the decisive role of the market in forming prices, guide production through market price signals and adjust supply and demand. To promote the sustained and healthy development of the industry. " According to the analysis of a person in the oil industry, the current oil policy and market are changing, and farmers should follow the laws of the market. in view of the current market situation, farmers have no more than two choices: one is to upgrade the traditional planting method and take the road of large-scale planting; the other is to optimize crop varieties according to their own conditions to maximize agricultural benefits.

 
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